Mackenzie McDonald vs Thijs BoogaardPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈMackenzie McDonald
#146 Β· 31 yrs Β· R
41 meeting Β· sets 2β0
π³π±Thijs Boogaard
#489 Β· 18 yrs Β· R
6wMackenzie McDonald and Thijs Boogaard have met 1 time since 2025; Mackenzie McDonald leads 1β0. Across all meetings McDonald has taken 2 sets to Boogaard's 0. Their most recent meeting: Mackenzie McDonald won at 's-Hertogenbosch (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | McDonald | Boogaard | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mackenzie McDonald | Thijs Boogaard | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 17/25 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 6/25 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 14/50 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 15/30 | 50% | 14/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 5/17 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 7/17 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 73% | 19/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 17/23 | 58% | 15/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (McDonald 1, Boogaard 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McDonald
βοΈ Grinder
Boogaard
πΎ All-Court
Matchup analysis
The πΎ All-Court archetype wins about 54% vs βοΈ Grinder across 337 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Thijs Boogaard.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 9, 2025
's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass Β· 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | McDonald | Boogaard | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mackenzie McDonald | Thijs Boogaard | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | McDonald | Boogaard |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5β6 | 7β2 |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | 2.85 |
| ROI % | -24.7% | +76.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.72u | +6.84u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | McDonald | Boogaard |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | β |
| Events | 1 | β |
| Matches | 1 | β |
| Distance | 0 mi Β· 0 km | β |
| Route | CAN | β |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both McDonald and Boogaard posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | McDonald | Boogaard |
|---|---|---|
| Gauthier Onclin | W 76 64 | W 36 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 20
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Adam Walton
Newport Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jul 8
Patrick Kypson
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 30
Roberto Carballes Baena
Wimbledon Β· 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Wimbledon Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Christopher O'Connell
Wimbledon Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Shintaro Mochizuki
Nottingham 2 Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Jun 16
Jan Kumstat
Bunschoten Challenger Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Gauthier Onclin
Bunschoten Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jul 14
Tiago Torres
M25 Lourinha Β· Final
Jun 21
Fabrizio Andaloro
M25 Lourinha Β· Semifinals
Jun 20
Carl Emil Overbeck
M25 Lourinha Β· Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Patrick Schoen
M25 Lourinha Β· 2nd Round
Jun 18
Goncalo Marques
M25 Lourinha Β· 1st Round
Jun 17
Daniil Medvedev
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch Β· 2nd Round
Jun 12
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 36β53 matches
| Metric | McDonald | Boogaard |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 61% |
| Sets won | 48% | 60% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | McDonald | Boogaard |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | McDonald | Boogaard |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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