Mackenzie McDonald vs Tennys SandgrenPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mackenzie McDonald and Tennys Sandgren have met 7 times since 2016; Tennys Sandgren leads 6–1. Their first meeting came at Cary in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Sandgren leads 5–1. Across all meetings McDonald has taken 5 sets to Sandgren's 12. Their most recent meeting: Tennys Sandgren won at ATP Masters 1000 Paris (2018).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | McDonald | Sandgren | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mackenzie McDonald | Tennys Sandgren | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 13/20 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 9/28 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 16/48 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 11/26 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 37% | 7/19 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 24% | 4/17 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 74% | 14/19 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 13/19 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 4 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (McDonald 1, Sandgren 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Sandgren
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 720 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tennys Sandgren.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Oct 29, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 13, 2017
Fairfield
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 30, 2017
Tiburon
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 10, 2017
Aptos
H Hard · Round of 16
May 3, 2017
Savannah
C Clay · Round of 32
Mar 30, 2017
Leon
H Hard · Round of 32
Sep 7, 2016
Cary
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | McDonald | Sandgren |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | - |
| ROI % | -56.3% | - |
| Units P/L | -5.63u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | McDonald | Sandgren |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | POR | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ryan Nijboer
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Toby Samuel
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Thiago Seyboth Wild
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Stefano Napolitano
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Yibing Wu
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Tristan Boyer
Savannah Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 24
Thai-Son Kwiatkowski
Savannah Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 22
Stefan Kozlov
Tallahassee Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 17
Martin Damm
Tallahassee Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 16
Zizou Bergs
Sarasota Challenger · Semifinals
Apr 13
Stefan Kozlov
Sarasota Challenger · Quarterfinals
Apr 12
Dmitry Popko
Sarasota Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 10
Thai-Son Kwiatkowski
Sarasota Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–51 matches
| Metric | McDonald | Sandgren |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | - |
| Sets won | 43% | - |
| Games won | 49% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | McDonald | Sandgren |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 5 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | McDonald | Sandgren |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 5 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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