Mackenzie McDonald vs Tennys SandgrenPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mackenzie McDonald and Tennys Sandgren have met 7 times since 2016; Tennys Sandgren leads 6–1. Their first meeting came at Cary in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Sandgren leads 5–1. Across all meetings McDonald has taken 5 sets to Sandgren's 12. Their most recent meeting: Tennys Sandgren won at ATP Masters 1000 Paris (2018).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | McDonald | Sandgren | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mackenzie McDonald | Tennys Sandgren | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 17/25 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 6/25 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 14/50 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 15/30 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 5/17 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 7/17 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 17/23 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 4 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (McDonald 1, Sandgren 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Sandgren
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tennys Sandgren.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Oct 29, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 13, 2017
Fairfield
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 30, 2017
Tiburon
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 10, 2017
Aptos
H Hard · Round of 16
May 3, 2017
Savannah
C Clay · Round of 32
Mar 30, 2017
Leon
H Hard · Round of 32
Sep 7, 2016
Cary
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | McDonald | Sandgren |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | - |
| ROI % | -24.7% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.72u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | McDonald | Sandgren |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CAN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Adam Walton
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Patrick Kypson
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Roberto Carballes Baena
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Christopher O'Connell
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Shintaro Mochizuki
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 16
Tristan Boyer
Savannah · Round of 16
Apr 24
Thai-Son Kwiatkowski
Savannah · Round of 32
Apr 22
Stefan Kozlov
Tallahassee · Round of 16
Apr 17
Martin Damm
Tallahassee · Round of 32
Apr 16
Zizou Bergs
Sarasota · Semifinals
Apr 13
Stefan Kozlov
Sarasota · Quarterfinals
Apr 12
Dmitry Popko
Sarasota · Round of 16
Apr 10
Thai-Son Kwiatkowski
Sarasota · Round of 32
Apr 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–53 matches
| Metric | McDonald | Sandgren |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | - |
| Sets won | 48% | - |
| Games won | 50% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | McDonald | Sandgren |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 5 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | McDonald | Sandgren |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 5 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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