Mackenzie McDonald vs Ryan PenistonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mackenzie McDonald and Ryan Peniston have met 1 time since 2025; Mackenzie McDonald leads 1–0. Across all meetings McDonald has taken 2 sets to Peniston's 0. Their most recent meeting: Mackenzie McDonald won at 's-Hertogenbosch (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | McDonald | Peniston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mackenzie McDonald | Ryan Peniston | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 17/25 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 6/25 | 36% | 4/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 14/50 | 36% | 10/28 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 15/30 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 5/17 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 7/17 | 13% | 1/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 89% | 17/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 17/23 | 58% | 11/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (McDonald 1, Peniston 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Peniston
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 646 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 8, 2025
's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | McDonald | Peniston |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | -24.7% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.72u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | McDonald | Peniston |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN | GBR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both McDonald and Peniston posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | McDonald | Peniston |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Merida | L 57 46 | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Adam Walton
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Patrick Kypson
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Roberto Carballes Baena
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Christopher O'Connell
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Shintaro Mochizuki
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 16
Ivan Ivanov
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 24
Max Basing
M25 Vila Real de Santo António · Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Francisco Rocha
M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio 2 · 2nd Round
Feb 19
Rodrigo Alujas
M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio 2 · 1st Round
Feb 17
Hynek Barton
Tenerife 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Feb 10
Coleman Wong
Manama Challenger · 1st Round
Jan 27
Hyeon Chung
Phan Thiet 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Jan 20
Moerani Bouzige
Noumea Challenger · 1st Round
Jan 5
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–53 matches
| Metric | McDonald | Peniston |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 61% |
| Sets won | 48% | 58% |
| Games won | 50% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | McDonald | Peniston |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | McDonald | Peniston |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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