Mackenzie McDonald vs Ryan NijboerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mackenzie McDonald and Ryan Nijboer have met 1 time since 2026; Ryan Nijboer leads 1–0. Across all meetings McDonald has taken 1 sets to Nijboer's 2. Their most recent meeting: Ryan Nijboer won at Braga Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | McDonald | Nijboer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mackenzie McDonald | Ryan Nijboer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 13/20 | 66% | 37/56 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 9/28 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 16/48 | 38% | 32/84 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 11/26 | 55% | 30/55 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 37% | 7/19 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 24% | 4/17 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 74% | 14/19 | 88% | 46/52 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 13/19 | 71% | 37/52 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (McDonald 0, Nijboer 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Nijboer
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 708 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 7, 2026
Braga Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | McDonald | Nijboer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mackenzie McDonald | Ryan Nijboer | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 93% | 25/27 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 70% | 19/27 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 33% | 9/27 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 4% | 1/27 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/27 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/27 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | McDonald | Nijboer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 20–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 1.64 |
| ROI % | -56.3% | -0.7% |
| Units P/L | -5.63u | -0.20u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | McDonald | Nijboer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | POR | ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nijboer has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs McDonald's 0%).
| Opponent | McDonald | Nijboer |
|---|---|---|
| Niels Visker | L 67 57 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ryan Nijboer
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Toby Samuel
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Thiago Seyboth Wild
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Stefano Napolitano
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Yibing Wu
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Javier Barranco Cosano
Maia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Marvin Moeller
Braga Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Mackenzie McDonald
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Benjamin Hassan
Braga Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Nico Hipfl
Braga Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Alexander Ritschard
M25 Zaragoza · Semifinals
Oct 3
Nicolas Ifi
M25 Zaragoza · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Pierre Delage
M25 Zaragoza · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–84 matches
| Metric | McDonald | Nijboer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 67% |
| Sets won | 43% | 63% |
| Games won | 49% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | McDonald | Nijboer |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | McDonald | Nijboer |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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