Mackenzie McDonald vs Nikoloz BasilashviliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Mackenzie McDonald
#169 · 31 yrs · R
34 meetings · sets 7–2
🇬🇪Nikoloz Basilashvili
#124 · 34 yrs · R
4Mackenzie McDonald and Nikoloz Basilashvili have met 4 times since 2022; Mackenzie McDonald leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam in 2022 on hard. On hard courts McDonald leads 2–1. Across all meetings McDonald has taken 7 sets to Basilashvili's 2. Their most recent meeting: Nikoloz Basilashvili won at Chengdu Open - Chengdu (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | McDonald | Basilashvili | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mackenzie McDonald | Nikoloz Basilashvili | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 13/20 | 70% | 21/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 9/28 | 25% | 7/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 16/48 | 28% | 16/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 11/26 | 29% | 6/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 37% | 7/19 | 66% | 21/32 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 24% | 4/17 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 74% | 14/19 | 84% | 26/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 13/19 | 68% | 21/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (McDonald 2, Basilashvili 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Basilashvili
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 720 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Nikoloz Basilashvili.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 20, 2025
Chengdu Open - Chengdu
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 14, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
May 26, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 7, 2022
ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | McDonald | Basilashvili | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mackenzie McDonald | Nikoloz Basilashvili | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 71% | 10/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | McDonald | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 1.81 |
| ROI % | -56.3% | +3.6% |
| Units P/L | -5.63u | +0.51u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | McDonald | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 10 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km |
| Route | POR | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Basilashvili has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs McDonald's 30%).
| Opponent | McDonald | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Liam Draxl | L 63 67 26 | W 57 75 64 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 64 62 | W 64 76 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | L 46 67 | W 76 64 |
| Jaime Faria | W 63 76 | L 46 46 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 26 06 | L 57 63 46 |
| Patrick Kypson | L 63 16 46 46 | W 67 76 64 |
| Christopher O'Connell | W 63 64 64 | L 46 46 |
| Elias Ymer | L 67 64 46 | L 62 36 67 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 36 67 | W 63 62 |
| Daniel Merida Aguilar | L 57 46 | W 64 26 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ryan Nijboer
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Toby Samuel
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Thiago Seyboth Wild
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Stefano Napolitano
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Yibing Wu
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Adrian Mannarino
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Liam Draxl
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Andre Ilagan
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Botic van de Zandschulp
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Miomir Kecmanovic
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–58 matches
| Metric | McDonald | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 52% |
| Sets won | 43% | 51% |
| Games won | 49% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | McDonald | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | McDonald | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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