Mackenzie McDonald vs Nikoloz BasilashviliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Mackenzie McDonald
#146 · 31 yrs · R
44 meetings · sets 7–2
🇬🇪Nikoloz Basilashvili
#132 · 34 yrs · R
5wMackenzie McDonald and Nikoloz Basilashvili have met 4 times since 2022; Mackenzie McDonald leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam in 2022 on hard. On hard courts McDonald leads 2–1. Across all meetings McDonald has taken 7 sets to Basilashvili's 2. Their most recent meeting: Nikoloz Basilashvili won at Chengdu Open - Chengdu (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | McDonald | Basilashvili | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mackenzie McDonald | Nikoloz Basilashvili | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 17/25 | 62% | 18/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 6/25 | 21% | 6/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 14/50 | 30% | 17/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 15/30 | 28% | 7/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 5/17 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 7/17 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 85% | 23/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 17/23 | 67% | 18/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (McDonald 2, Basilashvili 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Basilashvili
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Nikoloz Basilashvili.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 20, 2025
Chengdu Open - Chengdu
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 14, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
May 26, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 7, 2022
ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | McDonald | Basilashvili | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mackenzie McDonald | Nikoloz Basilashvili | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 40% | 4/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | McDonald | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 4–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | 1.86 |
| ROI % | -24.7% | -30.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.72u | -3.30u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | McDonald | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CAN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Basilashvili has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs McDonald's 20%).
| Opponent | McDonald | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 26 06 | L 57 63 46 |
| Patrick Kypson | L 63 16 46 46 | W 67 76 64 |
| Elias Ymer | L 67 64 46 | L 62 36 67 |
| Christopher O'Connell | W 63 64 64 | L 46 46 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 36 67 | W 63 62 |
| Daniel Merida | L 57 46 | W 64 26 63 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | L 62 36 46 | W 63 63 |
| Quentin Halys | L 36 26 | W 64 64 |
| Rei Sakamoto | L 46 36 | W 62 36 61 |
| Bernard Tomic | W 75 76 | W 46 63 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Adam Walton
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Patrick Kypson
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Roberto Carballes Baena
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Christopher O'Connell
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Shintaro Mochizuki
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 16
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Michael Vrbensky
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Tiago Torres
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Jan Choinski
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Guy Den Ouden
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Arthur Rinderknech
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Vilius Gaubas
Braunschweig Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–57 matches
| Metric | McDonald | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 51% |
| Sets won | 48% | 49% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | McDonald | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | McDonald | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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