Mackenzie McDonald vs Mikael YmerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mackenzie McDonald and Mikael Ymer have met 3 times since 2020; Mikael Ymer leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Auckland in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Ymer leads 2–0. Across all meetings McDonald has taken 3 sets to Ymer's 5. Their most recent meeting: Mackenzie McDonald won at Rothesay International - Eastbourne (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | McDonald | Ymer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mackenzie McDonald | Mikael Ymer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 17/25 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 6/25 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 14/50 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 15/30 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 5/17 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 7/17 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 17/23 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (McDonald 0, Ymer 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Ymer
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,208 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 29, 2023
Rothesay International - Eastbourne
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Jan 11, 2023
Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 1, 2020
Auckland
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | McDonald | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | - |
| ROI % | -24.7% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.72u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | McDonald | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CAN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both McDonald and Ymer posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | McDonald | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Elias Ymer | L 67 64 46 | L 26 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Adam Walton
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Patrick Kypson
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Roberto Carballes Baena
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Christopher O'Connell
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Shintaro Mochizuki
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 16
Rudolf Molleker
Pullach · Round of 32
Jan 14
Elias Ymer
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm · 1st Round
Oct 14
Gerard Campana Lee
Bonn · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 3
Alex Molcan
Liberec · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 28
Amit Vales
Liberec · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Botic van de Zandschulp
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 16
Kenny De Schepper
Troyes · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 30
Alec Beckley
Troyes · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 2–53 matches
| Metric | McDonald | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 50% |
| Sets won | 48% | 40% |
| Games won | 50% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | McDonald | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | McDonald | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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