Mackenzie McDonald vs Marco CecchinatoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mackenzie McDonald and Marco Cecchinato have met 3 times since 2021; Mackenzie McDonald leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2021 on hard. Across all meetings McDonald has taken 5 sets to Cecchinato's 3. Their most recent meeting: Mackenzie McDonald won at Rothesay International - Eastbourne (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | McDonald | Cecchinato | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mackenzie McDonald | Marco Cecchinato | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 13/20 | 77% | 34/44 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 9/28 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 16/48 | 32% | 24/75 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 11/26 | 56% | 22/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 37% | 7/19 | 65% | 20/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 24% | 4/17 | 53% | 17/32 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 74% | 14/19 | 79% | 38/48 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 13/19 | 71% | 34/48 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (McDonald 1, Cecchinato 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Cecchinato
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 166 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 27, 2023
Rothesay International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 1st Round
May 11, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 9, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | McDonald | Cecchinato | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mackenzie McDonald | Marco Cecchinato | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 53% | 8/15 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | McDonald | Cecchinato |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 1.79 |
| ROI % | -56.3% | -11.9% |
| Units P/L | -5.63u | -1.78u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | McDonald | Cecchinato |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | POR | POL |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cecchinato has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs McDonald's 25%).
| Opponent | McDonald | Cecchinato |
|---|---|---|
| Marco Trungelliti | W 26 62 75 | L 67 57 |
| Lloyd Harris | L 46 26 | W 62 61 |
| Chun-Hsin Tseng | L 16 67 | W 62 62 |
| Martin Landaluce | L 36 46 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ryan Nijboer
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Toby Samuel
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Thiago Seyboth Wild
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Stefano Napolitano
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Yibing Wu
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Olle Wallin
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Marco Trungelliti
Szczecin Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Marvin Moeller
Szczecin Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Henri Squire
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Laslo Djere
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Alejandro Moro Canas
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Nick Hardt
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Vilius Gaubas
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–75 matches
| Metric | McDonald | Cecchinato |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 59% |
| Sets won | 43% | 59% |
| Games won | 49% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | McDonald | Cecchinato |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | McDonald | Cecchinato |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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