Lulu Sun vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇳🇿Lulu Sun
#128 · 25 yrs · Left-Handed
11w2 meetings · sets 0–4

🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#83 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
5wLulu Sun and Paula Badosa have met 2 times since 2025; Paula Badosa leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Badosa leads 2–0. Badosa has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Sun has taken 0 sets to Badosa's 4. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at Austin 125 - Austin (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sun | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lulu Sun | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 11/15 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 5/13 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 9/28 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 6/16 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 11/16 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 11/16 | 78% | 18/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sun 0, Badosa 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sun
🤖 Servebot
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 11, 2026
Austin 125 - Austin
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 16, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sun | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–2 | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.54 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | -52.7% | +18.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.58u | +3.09u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sun has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Badosa's 33%).
| Opponent | Sun | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Yulia Putintseva | L 67 26 | W 61 62 |
| Emma Navarro | W 64 64 | L 64 36 57 |
| Iva Jovic | W 64 76 | L 26 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mary Stoiana
Lexus Ilkley Open - Ilkley · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Ella Mcdonald
Lexus Ilkley Open - Ilkley · 1st Round
Jun 9
Mary Stoiana
Lexus Birmingham Open - Birmingham · 1st Round
Jun 2
Yue Yuan
Open 35 de Saint-Malo - Saint-Malo · 1st Round
Apr 27
Yulia Putintseva
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston · 1st Round
Mar 30
Taylor Townsend
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 19
Paula Badosa
Austin 125 - Austin · 2nd Round
Mar 11
Emma Navarro
Austin 125 - Austin · 1st Round
Mar 10
Mayar Sherif
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Panna Udvardy
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Katarzyna Kawa
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 22
Tamara Zidansek
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Semifinals
Jul 18
Panna Udvardy
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alevtina Ibragimova
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anhelina Kalinina
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Simona Waltert
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–39 matches
| Metric | Sun | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 59% |
| Sets won | 54% | 59% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sun | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 125 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sun | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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