Luca Nardi vs Roberto Bautista AgutPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luca Nardi and Roberto Bautista Agut have met 1 time since 2024; Roberto Bautista Agut leads 1–0. Across all meetings Nardi has taken 0 sets to Agut's 3. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Bautista Agut won at U.S. Open - New York (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nardi | Bautista Agut | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Nardi | Roberto Bautista Agut | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 13/18 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 64% | 14/22 | 33% | 5/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 19/40 | 29% | 7/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 10/21 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 11/18 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 65% | 13/20 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 13/20 | 64% | 7/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nardi
🏹 Frontrunner
Agut
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 57% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 247 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Roberto Bautista Agut.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 26, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nardi | Agut | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luca Nardi | Roberto Bautista Agut | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nardi | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 2.38 |
| ROI % | -38.1% | -77.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.43u | -3.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Agut has a higher win rate against shared opponents (25% vs Nardi's 0%).
| Opponent | Nardi | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Valentin Royer | L 67 57 | L 46 67 |
| Fabian Marozsan | L 67 36 | W 64 67 64 |
| Martin Damm | L 36 67 | L 16 36 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | L 36 67 | L 36 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andrea Guerrieri
Umag
Jul 11
Otto Virtanen
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Rio Noguchi
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Remy Bertola
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 15
Giles Hussey
Lexus Nottingham Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Oscar Weightman
Lexus Nottingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Jacob Fearnley
Ilkley Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 10
Remy Bertola
Perugia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Joao Fonseca
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Benito Sanchez Martinez
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Marcos Giron
Boss Open - Stuttgart · 1st Round
Jun 9
Hynek Barton
Prostejov Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Brandon Nakashima
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Zizou Bergs
Valencia Challenger · 2nd Round
May 14
Pedro Martinez
Valencia Challenger · 1st Round
May 13
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–41 matches
| Metric | Nardi | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 32% |
| Sets won | 50% | 36% |
| Games won | 50% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nardi | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nardi | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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