Lorenzo Carboni vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Lorenzo Carboni
#478 · 20 yrs · R
1 meeting · sets 1–2
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#209 · 33 yrs · R
5wLorenzo Carboni and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 1 time since 2026; Roberto Carballes Baena leads 1–0. Across all meetings Carboni has taken 1 sets to Baena's 2. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Carballes Baena won at Perugia Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carboni | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Carboni | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 19/28 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 9/29 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 18/57 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 15/30 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 37% | 7/19 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 22/30 | 85% | 22/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 58% | 15/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carboni 0, Carballes Baena 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carboni
🛡️ The Spoiler
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 407 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Roberto Carballes Baena.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 2, 2026
Perugia Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carboni | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Carboni | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carboni | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.83 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -69.3% | -20.3% |
| Units P/L | -4.85u | -2.84u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carboni | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | BUL → ITA → SUI | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baena has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Carboni's 25%).
| Opponent | Carboni | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Miguel Damas | W 75 63 | W 62 63 |
| Francesco Forti | L 75 67 16 | W 36 61 64 |
| Max Hans Rehberg | L 16 06 | W 64 64 |
| Jonas Forejtek | L 64 06 36 | L 62 16 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andrey Chepelev
M25 Lausanne · Semifinals
Aug 29
Noah Karma
M25 Lausanne · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Nicolas Ulrich
M25 Lausanne · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Nicolas Ulrich
M25 Lausanne · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Arthur Bellegy
M25 Lausanne · 1st Round
Aug 25
Daniel Michalski
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Petr Brunclik
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Gabriele Crivellaro
M25 Bolzano · 1st Round
Jul 28
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mark Ceban
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Sebastian Ofner
Parma Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Stefano Travaglia
Parma Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Miguel Damas
Parma Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–57 matches
| Metric | Carboni | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 55% |
| Sets won | 49% | 54% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carboni | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carboni | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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