Francesco Forti vs Lorenzo CarboniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Francesco Forti and Lorenzo Carboni have met 6 times since 2026; Francesco Forti leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Guerri Napoli Tennis Cup in 2026 on clay. On clay courts Forti leads 4–1. Forti has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Forti has taken 11 sets to Carboni's 6. Their most recent meeting: Francesco Forti won at Cervia Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Forti | Carboni | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francesco Forti | Lorenzo Carboni | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 32/49 | 69% | 24/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 10/27 | 38% | 12/32 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 27/76 | 34% | 23/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 23/44 | 50% | 17/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 15/26 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 18/28 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 38/44 | 74% | 31/42 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 32/44 | 57% | 24/42 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Forti 1, Carboni 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Forti
🪃 Counterpuncher
Carboni
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Francesco Forti.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
May 18, 2026
Cervia Challenger
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
May 2, 2026
CAME CUP 2026 CITTA' DI CERVIA
? - · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 17, 2026
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 30, 2026
Open Città della Disfida - Trofeo Lapietra
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 23, 2026
Naples Challenger
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Mar 3, 2026
Guerri Napoli Tennis Cup
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Forti | Carboni | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francesco Forti | Lorenzo Carboni | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 59% | 10/17 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 12% | 2/17 |
| 5 or more | 41% | 7/17 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Forti | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–8 | 9–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -21.6% | -29.8% |
| Units P/L | -3.89u | -5.36u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Forti | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 91 mi · 146 km | — |
| Route | ITA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Forti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Carboni's 10%).
| Opponent | Forti | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| Federico Iannaccone | W 63 64 | L 36 06 |
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | L 26 46 | L 67 62 46 |
| Daniel Michalski | W 76 64 | L 36 36 |
| Gianluca Cadenasso | W 61 75 | L 36 16 |
| Pedro Martinez | L 57 67 | L |
| Andrey Chepelev | W 46 62 63 | L 16 46 |
| Roberto Carballes Baena | L 63 16 46 | L 63 16 46 |
| Manuel Mazza | W 63 64 | L |
| Jelle Sels | W 60 76 | W 64 64 |
| Federico Arnaboldi | W 36 63 61 | L 36 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Palermo Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Genoa 2 Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 26
Mika Petkovic
Genoa 2 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Alejandro Juan Mano
Genoa 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Ryan Nijboer
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Mika Brunold
Biella Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Gianluca Cadenasso
Biella Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Pedro Martinez
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Federico Iannaccone
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 7
Sander Jong
M25 Zaragoza · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Javier Barranco Cosano
M25 Zaragoza · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Jaume Casas Blasi
M25 Zaragoza · 1st Round
Sep 29
Daniel Michalski
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Gabriele Pennaforti
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 21
Matteo Sciahbasi
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 67–76 matches
| Metric | Forti | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 52% |
| Sets won | 60% | 52% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Forti | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 5 | 0 |
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Forti | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 4 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
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