Lloyd Harris vs Mackenzie McDonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lloyd Harris and Mackenzie McDonald have met 3 times since 2018; Mackenzie McDonald leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Seoul in 2018 on hard. On hard courts McDonald leads 2–0. Across all meetings Harris has taken 3 sets to McDonald's 5. Their most recent meeting: Lloyd Harris won at Mutua Madrid Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Harris | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lloyd Harris | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 15/25 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 6/12 | 24% | 6/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 16/37 | 28% | 14/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 15/31 | 50% | 15/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 2/6 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 20% | 3/15 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 87% | 20/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 15/23 | 74% | 17/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Harris 1, McDonald 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Harris
🤖 Servebot
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lloyd Harris.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 20, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 13, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 4, 2018
Seoul
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Harris | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lloyd Harris | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 10 or more | 50% | 7/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Harris | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.69 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | -6.1% | -24.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.86u | -2.72u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Harris | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 9 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,452 mi · 2,337 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | USA → MEX | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
McDonald has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Harris's 50%).
| Opponent | Harris | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Michelsen | L 36 36 | L 46 57 |
| Moez Echargui | W 64 64 | W 62 75 |
| Harold Mayot | L 67 26 | W 63 76 |
| Brandon Holt | W 64 64 | W 63 46 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sebastian Baez
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Vit Kopriva
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Darwin Blanch
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Andre Ilagan
Brownsburg Challenger · Final
Aug 16
Daniel Milavsky
Brownsburg Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 15
Harry Wendelken
Brownsburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Mees Rottgering
Brownsburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Andrew Fenty
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 12
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Adam Walton
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Patrick Kypson
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Roberto Carballes Baena
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Christopher O'Connell
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Shintaro Mochizuki
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–53 matches
| Metric | Harris | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 49% |
| Sets won | 62% | 48% |
| Games won | 55% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Harris | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Harris | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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