Lloyd Harris vs Mackenzie McDonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lloyd Harris and Mackenzie McDonald have met 3 times since 2018; Mackenzie McDonald leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Seoul in 2018 on hard. On hard courts McDonald leads 2–0. Across all meetings Harris has taken 3 sets to McDonald's 5. Their most recent meeting: Lloyd Harris won at Mutua Madrid Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Harris | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lloyd Harris | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 24/37 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 60% | 9/15 | 32% | 9/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 22/52 | 33% | 16/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 23/44 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 10/22 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 28/33 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 24/33 | 68% | 13/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Harris 1, McDonald 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Harris
🤖 Servebot
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 720 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lloyd Harris.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 20, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 13, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 4, 2018
Seoul
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Harris | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lloyd Harris | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| 1 or more | 97% | 30/31 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 3 or more | 97% | 30/31 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 84% | 26/31 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 52% | 16/31 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 16% | 5/31 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 7% | 2/31 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Harris | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 25–7 | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.62 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | +13.1% | -56.3% |
| Units P/L | +4.19u | -5.63u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Harris | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 4 | 1 |
| Matches | 14 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Harris and McDonald posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Harris | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 63 64 | L 62 16 26 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 36 36 | L 46 57 |
| Edas Butvilas | W 67 75 63 | W 36 63 64 |
| Moez Echargui | W 64 64 | W 62 75 |
| Hugo Grenier | W 63 63 | W 76 61 |
| Jaime Faria | L | W 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Alex Bolt
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Mattia Bellucci
Jingshan Challenger · Final
Oct 4
Alex Bolt
Jingshan Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Andre Ilagan
Jingshan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Luka Pavlovic
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Alexis Galarneau
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Ryan Nijboer
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Toby Samuel
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Thiago Seyboth Wild
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Stefano Napolitano
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Yibing Wu
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–54 matches
| Metric | Harris | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 41% |
| Sets won | 65% | 43% |
| Games won | 55% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Harris | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Harris | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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