Liudmila Samsonova vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Liudmila Samsonova
#43 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–3
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#58 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Liudmila Samsonova and Paula Badosa have met 3 times since 2021; Liudmila Samsonova leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Samsonova leads 2–0. Samsonova has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Samsonova has taken 6 sets to Badosa's 3. Their most recent meeting: Liudmila Samsonova won at Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Samsonova | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Liudmila Samsonova | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 13/20 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 14/24 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 21/44 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 11/24 | 51% | 19/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 42% | 5/12 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 64% | 18/28 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 46% | 13/28 | 83% | 20/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Samsonova 0, Badosa 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Samsonova
🤖 Servebot
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 22, 2025
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Feb 19, 2023
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 9, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Samsonova | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Liudmila Samsonova | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 3 or more | 53% | 8/15 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 5 or more | 40% | 6/15 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Samsonova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 1.72 |
| ROI % | +20.9% | -3.7% |
| Units P/L | +3.35u | -0.52u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Samsonova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Distance | 7,530 mi · 12,118 km | 10,936 mi · 17,599 km |
| Route | UKR → ROU | BRA → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Badosa has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Samsonova's 40%).
| Opponent | Samsonova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Daria Kasatkina | L 57 36 | W 46 76 64 |
| Kayla Day | W 76 26 76 | W 64 63 |
| Coco Gauff | L 62 46 16 | L 46 67 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 76 57 75 | W 61 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 64 46 | L 36 26 |
| Marie Bouzkova | L 64 67 46 | L 63 36 46 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 63 36 26 | L |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 63 75 | W 63 75 |
| Lilli Tagger | L 26 67 | L 46 67 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | W 64 64 | W 75 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Linda Fruhvirtova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Peyton Stearns
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Semifinals
Sep 19
Marta Kostyuk
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Kayla Day
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Elsa Jacquemot
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 15
Maya Joint
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Daria Kasatkina
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Sep 19
Mary Stoiana
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Jazmin Ortenzi
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Justina Mikulskyte
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Daria Kasatkina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–45 matches
| Metric | Samsonova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 60% |
| Sets won | 50% | 59% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Samsonova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Samsonova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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