Liudmila Samsonova vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Liudmila Samsonova
#45 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–3
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#83 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
5wLiudmila Samsonova and Paula Badosa have met 3 times since 2021; Liudmila Samsonova leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Samsonova leads 2–0. Samsonova has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Samsonova has taken 6 sets to Badosa's 3. Their most recent meeting: Liudmila Samsonova won at Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Samsonova | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Liudmila Samsonova | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 13/18 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 52% | 12/23 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 17/41 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 11/22 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 10/19 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 25% | 2/8 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 16/24 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 13/24 | 78% | 18/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Samsonova 0, Badosa 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Samsonova
🤖 Servebot
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 22, 2025
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Feb 19, 2023
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 9, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Samsonova | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Liudmila Samsonova | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 63% | 10/16 | 35% | 6/17 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Samsonova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.26 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | +11.3% | +18.2% |
| Units P/L | +1.81u | +3.09u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Samsonova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | — |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Badosa has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Samsonova's 50%).
| Opponent | Samsonova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | L 62 46 16 | W 16 63 62 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 76 57 75 | W 61 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 64 46 | L 36 26 |
| Emiliana Arango | W 61 75 | W 63 62 |
| Marie Bouzkova | L 64 67 46 | L 63 36 46 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 63 36 26 | L 75 26 57 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 63 75 | W 63 75 |
| Antonia Ruzic | W 60 64 | W 63 76 |
| Lilli Tagger | L 26 67 | L 46 67 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | W 64 64 | W 75 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Yulia Putintseva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Barbora Krejcikova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Janice Tjen
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Diana Shnaider
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Xinyu Wang
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Mayar Sherif
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Panna Udvardy
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Katarzyna Kawa
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 22
Tamara Zidansek
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Semifinals
Jul 18
Panna Udvardy
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alevtina Ibragimova
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anhelina Kalinina
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Simona Waltert
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–41 matches
| Metric | Samsonova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 59% |
| Sets won | 48% | 59% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Samsonova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Samsonova | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.