Learner Tien vs Mariano NavonePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Learner Tien and Mariano Navone have met 3 times since 2025; Learner Tien leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Tien has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Tien leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Tien has taken 4 sets to Navone's 4. Their most recent meeting: Learner Tien won at Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tien | Navone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Learner Tien | Mariano Navone | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 16/29 | 68% | 23/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 5/17 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 18/46 | 33% | 19/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 12/28 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 75% | 15/20 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 25/28 | 84% | 26/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 16/28 | 74% | 23/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tien 0, Navone 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tien
💥 Big Hitter
Navone
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 23, 2026
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva
C Clay · Final
Sep 17, 2025
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 7, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tien | Navone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Learner Tien | Mariano Navone | ||
| 1 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 6/16 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tien | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–8 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.72 | 2.37 |
| ROI % | -8.7% | +17.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.66u | +2.59u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tien | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 2 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tien has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Navone's 50%).
| Opponent | Tien | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Casper Ruud | L 46 67 | W 75 62 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 67 36 | L 16 63 36 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 63 26 107 | L 61 67 36 67 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 62 64 | L 36 62 46 61 67 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 57 62 63 | W 36 63 64 76 |
| Nuno Borges | W 64 61 62 | W 63 64 |
| Alexander Blockx | W 43 42 41 | L 36 46 |
| Daniel Merida Aguilar | W 63 62 | W 62 46 75 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 76 57 67 | W 76 76 |
| Cristian Garin | W 60 26 60 62 | L 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Casper Ruud
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Zachary Svajda
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 27
Flavio Cobolli
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Jiri Lehecka
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 5
Sep 19
Jakub Mensik
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Karen Khachanov
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 8
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Matteo Berrettini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Novak Djokovic
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Alexander Blockx
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Raphael Collignon
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 64–65 matches
| Metric | Tien | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 58% |
| Sets won | 60% | 55% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tien | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tien | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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