Learner Tien vs Mariano NavonePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Learner Tien and Mariano Navone have met 3 times since 2025; Learner Tien leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Tien has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Tien leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Tien has taken 4 sets to Navone's 4. Their most recent meeting: Learner Tien won at Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tien | Navone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Learner Tien | Mariano Navone | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 16/32 | 68% | 23/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 22/48 | 34% | 20/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 13/28 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 13/19 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 77% | 17/22 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 24/26 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 16/26 | 72% | 23/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tien 0, Navone 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tien
💥 Big Hitter
Navone
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 23, 2026
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva
C Clay · Final
Sep 17, 2025
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 7, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tien | Navone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Learner Tien | Mariano Navone | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 5 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tien | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.62 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | -14.6% | -17.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.75u | -2.13u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tien | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 6 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tien has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Navone's 40%).
| Opponent | Tien | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Blockx | W 43 42 41 | L 36 46 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 57 62 63 | W 63 67 63 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 26 26 36 | L 61 67 36 67 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 76 57 67 | W 76 76 |
| Cristian Garin | W 60 26 60 62 | L 67 26 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 64 36 61 | L 62 26 57 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 36 76 | W 64 64 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 36 76 16 67 | L 16 63 36 |
| Nuno Borges | W 76 64 62 | W 63 64 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 46 | L 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Sebastian Baez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Tommy Paul
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Gael Monfils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Adrian Mannarino
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Alexander Blockx
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Raphael Collignon
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Valentin Vacherot
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Matteo Berrettini
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Jan-Lennard Struff
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 62–63 matches
| Metric | Tien | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 56% |
| Sets won | 61% | 55% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tien | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tien | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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