Keisuke Saitoh vs Mattia BellucciPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Keisuke Saitoh and Mattia Bellucci have met 1 time since 2026; Mattia Bellucci leads 1–0. Across all meetings Saitoh has taken 0 sets to Bellucci's 2. Their most recent meeting: Mattia Bellucci won at Jingshan Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Saitoh | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Keisuke Saitoh | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 36/52 | 71% | 25/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 13% | 3/24 | 33% | 9/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 19/76 | 31% | 19/62 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 22/37 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 18/29 | 61% | 19/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 98% | 42/43 | 86% | 30/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 84% | 36/43 | 71% | 25/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Saitoh 0, Bellucci 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Saitoh
⚔️ The Gladiator
Bellucci
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 900 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mattia Bellucci.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 29, 2026
Jingshan Challenger
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Saitoh | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Keisuke Saitoh | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 18/24 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 8/24 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 29% | 5/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Saitoh | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–7 | 10–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.29 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | +18.2% | -10.8% |
| Units P/L | +4.18u | -1.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Saitoh | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 10 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 927 mi · 1,492 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bellucci has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Saitoh's 0%).
| Opponent | Saitoh | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Yanki Erel | L 06 06 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Wuning 3 Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 10
Akira Santillan
Wuning 3 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Hiroki Moriya
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Dominik Palan
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Yusuke Takahashi
Wuning 3 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Zhicheng Wang
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Mattia Bellucci
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Koki Matsuda
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alexandre Muller
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Elias Ymer
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · Final
Oct 4
Yanki Erel
Jingshan Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Adam Walton
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Alexandre Muller
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Keisuke Saitoh
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 66–76 matches
| Metric | Saitoh | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 55% |
| Sets won | 63% | 53% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Saitoh | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Saitoh | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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