Kei Nishikori vs Taylor FritzPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Kei Nishikori and Taylor Fritz have met 4 times since 2016; Kei Nishikori leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Memphis in 2016 on hard. On clay courts Nishikori leads 2–0. On hard courts they are level 1–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Nishikori leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Nishikori has taken 6 sets to Fritz's 2. Their most recent meeting: Taylor Fritz won at Truist Atlanta Open - Atlanta (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nishikori | Fritz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kei Nishikori | Taylor Fritz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 4/10 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 10/21 | 44% | 21/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 5/12 | 35% | 15/43 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 2/5 | 60% | 18/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 9/11 | 85% | 23/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 45% | 5/11 | 59% | 16/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nishikori 3, Fritz 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nishikori
🏹 Frontrunner
Fritz
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Taylor Fritz.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 28, 2023
Truist Atlanta Open - Atlanta
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 8, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 32
Apr 12, 2019
Barcelona
C Clay · Round of 32
Feb 14, 2016
Memphis
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nishikori | Fritz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Kei Nishikori | Taylor Fritz | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 50% | 8/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 6% | 1/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.70 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | -15.7% | -11.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.41u | -1.78u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km |
| Route | JPN | GBR → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fritz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Nishikori's 0%).
| Opponent | Nishikori | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | L 46 46 | L 46 46 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 26 | W 76 64 |
| Vit Kopriva | L | W 61 64 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rei Sakamoto
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Michael Antonius
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Sebastian Ofner
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Francisco Comesana
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Michael Zheng
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Matteo Arnaldi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Carlos Alcaraz
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Francisco Cerundolo
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Mattia Bellucci
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Darwin Blanch
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 21–61 matches
| Metric | Nishikori | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 62% |
| Sets won | 50% | 59% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nishikori | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nishikori | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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