Kei Nishikori vs Taylor FritzPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Kei Nishikori and Taylor Fritz have met 4 times since 2016; Kei Nishikori leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Memphis in 2016 on hard. On clay courts Nishikori leads 2–0. On hard courts they are level 1–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Nishikori leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Nishikori has taken 6 sets to Fritz's 2. Their most recent meeting: Taylor Fritz won at Truist Atlanta Open - Atlanta (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nishikori | Fritz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kei Nishikori | Taylor Fritz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 4/8 | 56% | 20/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 3/6 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 50% | 7/14 | 41% | 23/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 4/9 | 36% | 18/50 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 4/5 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 2/4 | 63% | 22/35 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 6/7 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 4/7 | 65% | 20/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nishikori 3, Fritz 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nishikori
🎯 Baseliner
Fritz
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 28, 2023
Truist Atlanta Open - Atlanta
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 8, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 32
Apr 12, 2019
Barcelona
C Clay · Round of 32
Feb 14, 2016
Memphis
H Hard · Final
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–1 | 19–5 |
| Avg odds | 3.62 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | +10.5% | +11.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.21u | +2.67u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 8 |
| Distance | — | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km |
| Route | — | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fritz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Nishikori's 0%).
| Opponent | Nishikori | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 26 | W 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Juncheng Shang
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Jack Kennedy
Savannah Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 22
Colton Smith
Savannah Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 20
Yibing Wu
Sarasota Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 9
Nicolas Kicker
Sarasota Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 7
Clement Tabur
Cherbourg Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 9
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Thionville Challenger · 2nd Round
Mar 4
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Alex Michelsen
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Final
Aug 3
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–68 matches
| Metric | Nishikori | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 65% |
| Sets won | 54% | 60% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nishikori | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nishikori | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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