Kei Nishikori vs Rei SakamotoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Kei Nishikori and Rei Sakamoto have met 1 time since 2026; Rei Sakamoto leads 1–0. Across all meetings Nishikori has taken 0 sets to Sakamoto's 2. Their most recent meeting: Rei Sakamoto won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nishikori | Sakamoto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kei Nishikori | Rei Sakamoto | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 63% | 29/46 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 4/10 | 25% | 6/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 10/21 | 33% | 23/70 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 5/12 | 47% | 23/49 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 2/5 | 51% | 20/39 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 9/11 | 90% | 37/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 45% | 5/11 | 71% | 29/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nishikori 0, Sakamoto 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nishikori
🏹 Frontrunner
Sakamoto
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Rei Sakamoto.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 28, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nishikori | Sakamoto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Kei Nishikori | Rei Sakamoto | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 85% | 17/20 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 45% | 9/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 25% | 5/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 5% | 1/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 14–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.70 | 1.86 |
| ROI % | -15.7% | +15.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.41u | +3.19u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nishikori | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | JPN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sakamoto has a higher win rate against shared opponents (43% vs Nishikori's 14%).
| Opponent | Nishikori | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Marco Trungelliti | L 64 57 36 | W 63 75 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 46 46 | L 36 67 57 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 26 | L 67 16 75 64 36 |
| Yibing Wu | L 36 63 16 | L 57 16 |
| Colton Smith | W 62 63 | W 64 64 |
| Vit Kopriva | L | L 46 67 |
| Kaichi Uchida | L 26 26 | W 46 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rei Sakamoto
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Michael Antonius
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Sebastian Ofner
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Francisco Comesana
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Michael Zheng
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Alex de Minaur
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Andrey Rublev
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Marco Trungelliti
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Kyrian Jacquet
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Seongchan Hong
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Anton Shepp
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NZL-JPN 1-3 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Ji Sung Nam
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 21–74 matches
| Metric | Nishikori | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 64% |
| Sets won | 50% | 58% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nishikori | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nishikori | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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