Katie Boulter vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇬🇧Katie Boulter
#60 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–2
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#79 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
Katie Boulter and Tatjana Maria have met 3 times since 2022; Katie Boulter leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Viking Open - Nottingham in 2022 on grass. On grass courts Boulter leads 2–0. Boulter has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Boulter has taken 6 sets to Maria's 2. Their most recent meeting: Katie Boulter won at Billie Jean King Cup, Qualifiers, Group F (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Boulter | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katie Boulter | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 12/20 | 97% | 29/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 23% | 7/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 15/40 | 13% | 8/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 10/22 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 8/17 | 39% | 13/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 6/9 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 18/23 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 12/23 | 85% | 29/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Boulter 1, Maria 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Boulter
🤖 Servebot
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 11, 2025
Billie Jean King Cup, Qualifiers, Group F
C Clay · Rubber 2
Jul 2, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Jun 7, 2022
Viking Open - Nottingham
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Boulter | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Katie Boulter | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 91% | 21/23 |
| 3 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 61% | 14/23 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 30% | 7/23 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 9% | 2/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Boulter | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 17–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.26 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | +3.4% | +8.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.31u | +2.03u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Boulter | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Boulter has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Maria's 44%).
| Opponent | Boulter | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Katie Volynets | W 75 06 64 | W 62 64 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | L 36 63 46 | W 62 61 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 60 36 36 | W 64 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 75 26 64 | L 76 57 06 |
| Linda Fruhvirtova | W 63 62 | W 60 61 |
| Kimberly Birrell | W 75 76 | L 46 63 57 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 36 16 | L 26 06 |
| Hailey Baptiste | W 75 57 64 | L 57 26 |
| Viktorija Golubic | W 62 62 | L 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Katie Volynets
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Kayla Cross
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Ashlyn Krueger
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Tyra Caterina Grant
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Leylah Fernandez
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 21
Donna Vekic
The HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals
Jun 13
Elena Rybakina
The HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Dayana Yastremska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Talia Gibson
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Katie Volynets
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Final
Jul 12
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Semifinals
Jul 11
Lucrezia Stefanini
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–60 matches
| Metric | Boulter | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 50% |
| Sets won | 49% | 52% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Boulter | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Boulter | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 2 | 0 |
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