Katie Boulter vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇬🇧Katie Boulter
#54 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–2
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#71 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
4TitleKatie Boulter and Tatjana Maria have met 3 times since 2022; Katie Boulter leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Viking Open - Nottingham in 2022 on grass. On grass courts Boulter leads 2–0. Boulter has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Boulter has taken 6 sets to Maria's 2. Their most recent meeting: Katie Boulter won at Billie Jean King Cup, Qualifiers, Group F (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Boulter | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katie Boulter | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | 94% | 30/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 29% | 8/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 15/42 | 17% | 10/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 11/24 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 7/17 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 6/10 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 19/24 | 86% | 31/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 13/24 | 83% | 30/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Boulter 1, Maria 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Boulter
💥 Big Hitter
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Katie Boulter and Tatjana Maria are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 11, 2025
Billie Jean King Cup, Qualifiers, Group F
C Clay · Rubber 2
Jul 2, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Jun 7, 2022
Viking Open - Nottingham
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Boulter | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Katie Boulter | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Boulter | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 3.03 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -36.1% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.89u | -0.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Boulter | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | TUR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Boulter has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Maria's 50%).
| Opponent | Boulter | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Townsend | W 64 62 | L 76 36 26 |
| Katie Volynets | W 75 06 64 | W 62 64 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | L 36 63 46 | W 62 61 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 60 36 36 | W 64 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 75 26 64 | L 76 57 06 |
| Linda Fruhvirtova | W 63 62 | W 60 61 |
| Kimberly Birrell | W 75 76 | L 46 63 57 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 36 16 | L 26 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Mai Hontama
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Karolina Muchova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Carol Young Suh Lee
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Katie Volynets
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Kayla Cross
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Ashlyn Krueger
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Madison Brengle
W100 Templeton · Final
Oct 4
Malaika Rapolu
W100 Templeton · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Lea Ma
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 30
Taylor Townsend
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Nikola Bartunkova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jelena Ostapenko
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–60 matches
| Metric | Boulter | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 53% |
| Sets won | 49% | 55% |
| Games won | 49% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Boulter | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Boulter | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 2 | 0 |
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