Katie Boulter vs Mai HontamaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇬🇧Katie Boulter
#54 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇯🇵Mai Hontama
#164 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
Katie Boulter and Mai Hontama have met 1 time since 2026; Katie Boulter leads 1–0. Across all meetings Boulter has taken 2 sets to Hontama's 0. Their most recent meeting: Katie Boulter won at China Open - Beijing (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Boulter | Hontama | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katie Boulter | Mai Hontama | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | 61% | 23/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 35% | 11/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 15/42 | 38% | 26/69 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 11/24 | 46% | 16/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 7/17 | 59% | 17/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 6/10 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 19/24 | 80% | 33/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 13/24 | 56% | 23/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Boulter 1, Hontama 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Boulter
💥 Big Hitter
Hontama
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Katie Boulter.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 30, 2026
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Boulter | Hontama | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Katie Boulter | Mai Hontama | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 38% | 6/16 |
| 3 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Boulter | Hontama |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 10–7 |
| Avg odds | 3.03 | 1.88 |
| ROI % | -36.1% | +2.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.89u | +0.37u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Boulter | Hontama |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | POR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Boulter has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Hontama's 50%).
| Opponent | Boulter | Hontama |
|---|---|---|
| Ashlyn Krueger | L 63 26 26 | L 36 75 36 |
| Akasha Urhobo | W 64 46 64 | W 76 63 |
| Maria Timofeeva | W 62 62 | W 16 64 75 |
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | W | L 46 64 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Mai Hontama
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Karolina Muchova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Carol Young Suh Lee
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Katie Volynets
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Kayla Cross
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Ashlyn Krueger
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Emerson Jones
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 1st Round
Oct 6
Katie Boulter
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Jodie Burrage
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Alexandra Panova
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Eunhye Lee
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 19
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Lina Gjorcheska
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Katrina Scott
W100 Landisville · Quarterfinals
Aug 8
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–69 matches
| Metric | Boulter | Hontama |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 55% |
| Sets won | 49% | 53% |
| Games won | 49% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Boulter | Hontama |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Boulter | Hontama |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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