Katie Boulter vs Lesia TsurenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¬π§Katie Boulter
#60 Β· 29 yrs Β· Right-Handed
4 meetings Β· sets 2β6
πΊπ¦Lesia Tsurenko
Unranked Β· 37 yrs Β· Right-Handed
93wKatie Boulter and Lesia Tsurenko have met 4 times since 2018; Lesia Tsurenko leads 3β1. Their first meeting came at Montreal in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Tsurenko leads 3β1. Across all meetings Boulter has taken 2 sets to Tsurenko's 6. Their most recent meeting: Lesia Tsurenko won at Wuhan Open - Wuhan (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Boulter | Tsurenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katie Boulter | Lesia Tsurenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 12/20 | β | |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | β | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 15/40 | β | |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 10/22 | β | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 8/17 | β | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 6/9 | β | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 18/23 | β | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 12/23 | β | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample β read with care. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Boulter 1, Tsurenko 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Boulter
π€ Servebot
Tsurenko
πͺ Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The π€ Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs πͺ Counterpuncher across 2,880 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Katie Boulter.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 8, 2024
Wuhan Open - Wuhan
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Feb 26, 2024
San Diego Open - San Diego
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Mar 5, 2020
Oracle Challenger Series - Indian Wells
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Aug 8, 2018
Montreal
H Hard Β· Round of 64
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Boulter | Tsurenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4β5 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.26 | - |
| ROI % | +3.4% | - |
| Units P/L | +0.31u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Boulter | Tsurenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | β |
| Events | 2 | β |
| Matches | 3 | β |
| Distance | 411 mi Β· 662 km | β |
| Route | CAN β POL | β |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 15
Katie Volynets
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 14
Kayla Cross
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 3
Ashlyn Krueger
Mubadala DC Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Tyra Caterina Grant
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 30
Leylah Fernandez
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg Β· 1st Round
Jun 21
Donna Vekic
The HSBC Championships - London Β· Semifinals
Jun 13
Elena Rybakina
The HSBC Championships - London Β· Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Sinja Kraus
Billie Jean King Cup, PO, UKR-AUT 3-2 Β· Rubber 3
Nov 17
Tamira Paszek
Billie Jean King Cup, PO, UKR-AUT 3-2 Β· Rubber 1
Nov 16
Rebecca Marino
Dow Tennis Classic - Midland Β· Semifinals
Nov 9
Karina Miller
Dow Tennis Classic - Midland Β· Quarterfinals
Nov 8
Jil Teichmann
Dow Tennis Classic - Midland Β· 2nd Round
Nov 6
Tamara Zidansek
Dow Tennis Classic - Midland Β· 1st Round
Nov 4
Katie Boulter
Wuhan Open - Wuhan Β· 1st Round
Oct 8
Viktoriya Tomova
China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round
Sep 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 40β40 matches
| Metric | Boulter | Tsurenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | - |
| Sets won | 49% | - |
| Games won | 50% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Boulter | Tsurenko |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Boulter | Tsurenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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