Katerina Siniakova vs Maria Victoria Quinde SerranoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇿Katerina Siniakova
#87 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 3–4
🇪🇨Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
#67 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Katerina Siniakova and Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano have met 3 times since 2024; Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Catalonia Open - Lleida in 2024 on clay. On hard courts Serrano leads 2–0. Serrano has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Siniakova has taken 3 sets to Serrano's 4. Their most recent meeting: Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Siniakova | Victoria Quinde Serrano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katerina Siniakova | Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 13/17 | 64% | 18/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 9/18 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 13/35 | 39% | 20/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 11/21 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 9/12 | 92% | 11/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 3/7 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 88% | 23/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 69% | 18/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Siniakova 1, Victoria Quinde Serrano 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Siniakova
🏹 Frontrunner
Serrano
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 978 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 17, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 10, 2026
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 4, 2024
Catalonia Open - Lleida
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Siniakova | Serrano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Katerina Siniakova | Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 64% | 7/11 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Siniakova | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–3 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.80 | 3.03 |
| ROI % | -18.3% | -52.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.10u | -2.60u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Siniakova | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 654 mi · 1,053 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Siniakova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Serrano's 25%).
| Opponent | Siniakova | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Naomi Osaka | L 26 75 16 | L 26 57 |
| Simona Waltert | W 64 76 | W 62 61 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 64 67 57 | L 36 60 26 |
| Panna Udvardy | W 61 62 | L 57 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elina Svitolina
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Magda Linette
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Madison Keys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Nikola Bartunkova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Katie Volynets
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Tyra Caterina Grant
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Lanlana Tararudee
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Ann Li
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–51 matches
| Metric | Siniakova | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 55% |
| Sets won | 52% | 54% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Siniakova | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 125 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Siniakova | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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