Katerina Siniakova vs Maria Victoria Quinde SerranoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇿Katerina Siniakova
#39 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 3–4
🇪🇨Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
#58 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
3Katerina Siniakova and Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano have met 3 times since 2024; Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Catalonia Open - Lleida in 2024 on clay. On hard courts Serrano leads 2–0. Serrano has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Siniakova has taken 3 sets to Serrano's 4. Their most recent meeting: Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Siniakova | Victoria Quinde Serrano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katerina Siniakova | Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 16/20 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 12/39 | 38% | 18/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 12/24 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 10/14 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 4/9 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 16/19 | 92% | 24/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 84% | 16/19 | 65% | 17/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Siniakova 1, Victoria Quinde Serrano 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Siniakova
🏹 Frontrunner
Serrano
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,501 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Katerina Siniakova.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 17, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 10, 2026
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 4, 2024
Catalonia Open - Lleida
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Siniakova | Serrano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Katerina Siniakova | Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Siniakova | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–4 | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 2.58 |
| ROI % | -20.9% | -60.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.67u | -2.40u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Siniakova | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km |
| Route | POL | CAN → POL → AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Siniakova and Serrano posted a 43% win rate.
| Opponent | Siniakova | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 46 26 | L 36 67 |
| Storm Hunter | L 67 64 36 | W 75 75 |
| Simona Waltert | W 64 76 | W 62 61 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 64 67 57 | L 36 60 26 |
| Panna Udvardy | W 61 62 | L 57 36 |
| Marie Bouzkova | L 67 36 | L 36 46 |
| Iva Jovic | W 75 63 | W 46 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Madison Keys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Nikola Bartunkova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Qinwen Zheng
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Liudmila Samsonova
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 21
Jessica Pegula
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Rebeka Masarova
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 1st Round
Jun 16
Yue Yuan
Berlin
Jun 15
Ann Li
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Anastasia Zakharova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Storm Hunter
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Simona Waltert
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–47 matches
| Metric | Siniakova | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 57% |
| Sets won | 53% | 55% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Siniakova | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 125 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Siniakova | Serrano |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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