Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇱Katarzyna Kawa
#129 · 33 yrs · Right-Handed
4w31 meeting · sets 0–2
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#83 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
5wKatarzyna Kawa and Paula Badosa have met 1 time since 2026; Paula Badosa leads 1–0. Across all meetings Kawa has taken 0 sets to Badosa's 2. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kawa | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katarzyna Kawa | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 18/25 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 13/46 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 12/18 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 14/27 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 4/6 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 18/25 | 78% | 18/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kawa 0, Badosa 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kawa
🪃 Counterpuncher
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 7,380 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 22, 2026
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kawa | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Katarzyna Kawa | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 35% | 6/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kawa | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–6 | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.02 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | +19.5% | +18.2% |
| Units P/L | +2.93u | +3.09u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kawa | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | KAZ | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Badosa has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Kawa's 44%).
| Opponent | Kawa | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Mayar Sherif | W 63 16 62 | L 67 76 46 |
| Panna Udvardy | L 61 57 26 | W 64 61 |
| Tamara Zidansek | W 61 64 | W 36 75 76 |
| Alevtina Ibragimova | W 64 62 | W 76 16 64 |
| Simona Waltert | W 61 64 | W 75 75 |
| Anhelina Kalinina | L 36 46 | W 63 61 |
| Kayla Day | L 26 57 | W 64 63 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 26 16 | L 75 26 57 |
| Iva Jovic | L 46 64 36 | L 26 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Justina Mikulskyte
Polish Open - Warsaw · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Fruhvirtova
Polish Open - Warsaw · 1st Round
Aug 3
Paula Badosa
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 22
Panna Udvardy
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Simona Waltert
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Simona Waltert
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 6
Kayla Day
Wimbledon
Jun 25
Lucrezia Stefanini
Wimbledon
Jun 24
Mayar Sherif
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Panna Udvardy
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Katarzyna Kawa
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 22
Tamara Zidansek
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Semifinals
Jul 18
Panna Udvardy
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alevtina Ibragimova
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anhelina Kalinina
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Simona Waltert
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–46 matches
| Metric | Kawa | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 59% |
| Sets won | 53% | 59% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kawa | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kawa | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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