Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇱Katarzyna Kawa
#127 · 33 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 0–2
🇪🇸Paula Badosa
#58 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Katarzyna Kawa and Paula Badosa have met 1 time since 2026; Paula Badosa leads 1–0. Across all meetings Kawa has taken 0 sets to Badosa's 2. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kawa | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katarzyna Kawa | Paula Badosa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 19/27 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 9/28 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/55 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 13/22 | 51% | 19/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 17/32 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 5/9 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 24/30 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 83% | 20/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kawa 0, Badosa 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kawa
🪃 Counterpuncher
Badosa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Paula Badosa.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 22, 2026
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kawa | Badosa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Katarzyna Kawa | Paula Badosa | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 5 or more | 22% | 2/9 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kawa | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.19 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | -49.9% | -4.9% |
| Units P/L | -4.99u | -0.64u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kawa | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 10,936 mi · 17,599 km |
| Route | ROU | BRA → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Badosa has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Kawa's 40%).
| Opponent | Kawa | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Daria Snigur | L 63 46 57 | L 16 67 |
| Justina Mikulskyte | L 57 62 16 | W 63 62 |
| Eva Lys | L 75 16 46 | L 62 57 46 |
| Mayar Sherif | W 63 16 62 | L 67 76 46 |
| Panna Udvardy | L 61 57 26 | W 64 61 |
| Tamara Zidansek | W 61 64 | W 36 75 76 |
| Alevtina Ibragimova | W 64 62 | W 76 16 64 |
| Simona Waltert | W 61 64 | W 75 75 |
| Anhelina Kalinina | L 36 46 | W 63 61 |
| Kayla Day | L 26 57 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Valeria Savinykh
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Rinko Matsuda
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Maria Garcia Cid
BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia · 1st Round
Sep 14
Eva Bennemann
ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · 1st Round
Sep 8
Ekaterine Gorgodze
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Eva Lys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Justina Mikulskyte
Polish Open - Warsaw · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Daria Kasatkina
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Sep 19
Mary Stoiana
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Jazmin Ortenzi
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Justina Mikulskyte
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Daria Kasatkina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–55 matches
| Metric | Kawa | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 60% |
| Sets won | 50% | 59% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kawa | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kawa | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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