Karen Khachanov vs Roman Andres BurruchagaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐บKaren Khachanov
#49 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
41 meeting ยท sets 2โ1

๐ฆ๐ทRoman Andres Burruchaga
#59 ยท 24 yrs ยท R
4Karen Khachanov and Roman Andres Burruchaga have met 1 time since 2025; Karen Khachanov leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Khachanov has taken 2 sets to Burruchaga's 1. Their most recent meeting: Karen Khachanov won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2025).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- U.S. Open - New York
- Level
- Grand Slam
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- August 31 ยท 4:00 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
Priced around 1.25 or shorter, Karen Khachanov has won 71 of 86 matches, 83% against a fair-price expectation of 81%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Karen Khachanov and Roman Andres Burruchaga meet next at the U.S. Open - New York on August 31 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Khachanov | Andres Burruchaga | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karen Khachanov | Roman Andres Burruchaga | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 42% | 5/12 | 67% | 31/46 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 53% | 17/32 | 40% | 29/72 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 15% | 4/26 | 17% | 4/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 4/6 | 82% | 9/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 18% | 3/17 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 57% | 8/14 | 84% | 42/50 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 36% | 5/14 | 62% | 31/50 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Khachanov 0, Andres Burruchaga 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Khachanov
๐ค Servebot
Burruchaga
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Karen Khachanov.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 9, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Khachanov | Burruchaga | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Karen Khachanov | Roman Andres Burruchaga | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 54% | 7/13 |
| 5 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 10 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Khachanov | Burruchaga |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2โ5 | 4โ5 |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | 3.57 |
| ROI % | -59.0% | -17.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.13u | -1.53u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Khachanov | Burruchaga |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km | 1,959 mi ยท 3,153 km |
| Route | CAN โ USA | CAN โ USA โ MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Burruchaga has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Khachanov's 17%).
| Opponent | Khachanov | Burruchaga |
|---|---|---|
| Jan-Lennard Struff | L 64 67 36 | L 67 62 36 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 36 46 | W 62 26 63 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 60 67 76 26 26 | W 62 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 26 26 | L 67 16 06 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 67 63 36 46 | L 36 67 |
| Adam Walton | W 62 63 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 15
Terence Atmane
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Flavio Cobolli
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 4
Yannick Hanfmann
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Billy Harris
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Ethan Quinn
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Jesper de Jong
French Open - Paris ยท 3rd Round
May 29
Moise Kouame
Cancun Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 21
Jan-Lennard Struff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Alexei Popyrin
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Alexander Blockx
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Nuno Borges
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Stan Wawrinka
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท Semifinals
Jul 17
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 41โ75 matches
| Metric | Khachanov | Burruchaga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 63% |
| Sets won | 49% | 60% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Khachanov | Burruchaga |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Khachanov | Burruchaga |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |