Karen Khachanov vs Kei NishikoriPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Karen Khachanov and Kei Nishikori have met 7 times since 2016; Kei Nishikori leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at US Open in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Nishikori leads 3–0. On clay courts Nishikori leads 2–0. On grass courts Khachanov leads 2–0. Nishikori has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Khachanov has taken 8 sets to Nishikori's 12. Their most recent meeting: Kei Nishikori won at Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Khachanov | Nishikori | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karen Khachanov | Kei Nishikori | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 42% | 5/12 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 53% | 17/32 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 15% | 4/26 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 4/6 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 18% | 3/17 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 57% | 8/14 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 36% | 5/14 | 57% | 4/7 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Khachanov 1, Nishikori 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Khachanov
🤖 Servebot
Nishikori
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Jan 1, 2025
Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 2, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 4, 2021
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 16, 2018
Vienna
H Hard · Round of 16
Jun 13, 2018
Halle
G Grass · Round of 16
Jun 14, 2017
Halle
G Grass · Round of 16
Sep 1, 2016
US Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Khachanov | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 1–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | 3.62 |
| ROI % | -59.0% | +10.5% |
| Units P/L | -4.13u | +0.21u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Khachanov | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nishikori has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Khachanov's 0%).
| Opponent | Khachanov | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Juncheng Shang | L 67 36 | W 67 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Terence Atmane
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Flavio Cobolli
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Yannick Hanfmann
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Billy Harris
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Ethan Quinn
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Jesper de Jong
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Juncheng Shang
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Jack Kennedy
Savannah Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 22
Colton Smith
Savannah Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 20
Yibing Wu
Sarasota Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 9
Nicolas Kicker
Sarasota Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 7
Clement Tabur
Cherbourg Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 9
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Thionville Challenger · 2nd Round
Mar 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–41 matches
| Metric | Khachanov | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 57% |
| Sets won | 49% | 54% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Khachanov | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Khachanov | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 2 | 0 |
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