Karen Khachanov vs Kei NishikoriPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Karen Khachanov and Kei Nishikori have met 7 times since 2016; Kei Nishikori leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at US Open in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Nishikori leads 3–0. On clay courts Nishikori leads 2–0. On grass courts Khachanov leads 2–0. Nishikori has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Khachanov has taken 8 sets to Nishikori's 12. Their most recent meeting: Kei Nishikori won at Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Khachanov | Nishikori | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karen Khachanov | Kei Nishikori | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 8/16 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 9/19 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 21% | 6/28 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 5/7 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 26% | 5/19 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 12/17 | 82% | 9/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 47% | 8/17 | 45% | 5/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Khachanov 1, Nishikori 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Khachanov
🤖 Servebot
Nishikori
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Karen Khachanov.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Jan 1, 2025
Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 2, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 4, 2021
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 16, 2018
Vienna
H Hard · Round of 16
Jun 13, 2018
Halle
G Grass · Round of 16
Jun 14, 2017
Halle
G Grass · Round of 16
Sep 1, 2016
US Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Khachanov | Nishikori | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Karen Khachanov | Kei Nishikori | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 5 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 5/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Khachanov | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.94 | 2.70 |
| ROI % | +12.5% | -15.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.62u | -1.41u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Khachanov | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 1 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Khachanov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Nishikori's 0%).
| Opponent | Khachanov | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Marco Trungelliti | W 76 57 61 76 | L 64 57 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Adrian Mannarino
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Arthur Fery
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Felix Auger-Aliassime
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Frances Tiafoe
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rei Sakamoto
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Michael Antonius
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Sebastian Ofner
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Francisco Comesana
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Michael Zheng
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 21–49 matches
| Metric | Khachanov | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 52% |
| Sets won | 54% | 50% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Khachanov | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Khachanov | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 2 | 0 |
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