Kaichi Uchida vs Sho ShimabukuroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Kaichi Uchida and Sho Shimabukuro have met 4 times since 2022; Kaichi Uchida leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Matsuyama Challenger in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Uchida leads 3–1. Across all meetings Uchida has taken 6 sets to Shimabukuro's 4. Their most recent meeting: Kaichi Uchida won at Yokkaichi Challenger (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Uchida | Shimabukuro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kaichi Uchida | Sho Shimabukuro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 14/22 | 67% | 29/43 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 11/35 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 19/57 | 35% | 25/72 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 10/23 | 51% | 21/41 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 13/31 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 6/14 | 65% | 15/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 17/24 | 86% | 38/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 14/24 | 66% | 29/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Uchida 1, Shimabukuro 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Uchida
🤖 Servebot
Shimabukuro
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Kaichi Uchida and Sho Shimabukuro are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Nov 28, 2024
Yokkaichi Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Nov 14, 2023
Kobe Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 25, 2022
Yokkaichi Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 9, 2022
Matsuyama Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Uchida | Shimabukuro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Kaichi Uchida | Sho Shimabukuro | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Uchida | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–7 | 4–9 |
| Avg odds | 3.43 | 2.31 |
| ROI % | -60.0% | -58.3% |
| Units P/L | -5.40u | -7.58u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Uchida | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 2,283 mi · 3,674 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shimabukuro has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Uchida's 20%).
| Opponent | Uchida | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Rio Noguchi | L 63 26 36 | W 64 63 |
| Bernard Tomic | L 36 26 | W 63 63 |
| Elias Ymer | L 46 64 36 | W 63 63 |
| Yuta Shimizu | W 61 62 | W 63 60 |
| Kyrian Jacquet | L 36 64 36 | L 57 64 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ilya Ivashka
Jinan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 12
Jesse Delaney
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Ryan Seggerman
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Masamichi Imamura
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Rio Noguchi
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Linang Xiao
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Hanyi Liu
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 31
Miomir Kecmanovic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Anton Shepp
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NZL-JPN 1-3 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
James Watt
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NZL-JPN 1-3 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Arthur Rinderknech
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Miomir Kecmanovic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–74 matches
| Metric | Uchida | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 39% | 58% |
| Sets won | 41% | 56% |
| Games won | 47% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Uchida | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Uchida | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
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