Kaichi Uchida vs Sho ShimabukuroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Kaichi Uchida and Sho Shimabukuro have met 4 times since 2022; Kaichi Uchida leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Matsuyama Challenger in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Uchida leads 3–1. Across all meetings Uchida has taken 6 sets to Shimabukuro's 4. Their most recent meeting: Kaichi Uchida won at Yokkaichi Challenger (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Uchida | Shimabukuro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kaichi Uchida | Sho Shimabukuro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 26/37 | 70% | 31/44 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 10/32 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 21/69 | 32% | 22/69 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 23/38 | 53% | 20/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 12/29 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 7/17 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 30/35 | 87% | 40/46 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 26/35 | 67% | 31/46 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Uchida 1, Shimabukuro 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Uchida
🤖 Servebot
Shimabukuro
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Kaichi Uchida and Sho Shimabukuro are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Nov 28, 2024
Yokkaichi Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Nov 14, 2023
Kobe Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 25, 2022
Yokkaichi Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 9, 2022
Matsuyama Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Uchida | Shimabukuro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Kaichi Uchida | Sho Shimabukuro | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 3/4 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 3/4 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 1/4 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 27% | 4/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Uchida | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–6 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 3.16 | 2.30 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -9.9% |
| Units P/L | -6.00u | -1.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Uchida | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | — | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CHN | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shimabukuro has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Uchida's 57%).
| Opponent | Uchida | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Bernard Tomic | L 36 26 | W 63 63 |
| Elias Ymer | L 46 64 36 | W 63 63 |
| Yuta Shimizu | W 61 62 | W 63 60 |
| Oliver Crawford | W 67 63 64 | W 63 36 75 |
| Kokoro Isomura | W 62 62 | W 76 64 |
| Rio Noguchi | W 57 64 63 | W 64 63 |
| Kyrian Jacquet | L 36 64 36 | L 57 64 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tianhui Zhang
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Aug 26
Alexis Galarneau
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Daniel Milavsky
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 9
Jack Kennedy
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 29
Bernard Tomic
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Quinn Vandecasteele
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 19
Max Houkes
Tunis Challenger · 1st Round
May 11
Miomir Kecmanovic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Jaime Faria
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Frances Tiafoe
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Tallon Griekspoor
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Ben Shelton
Boss Open - Stuttgart · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 69–70 matches
| Metric | Uchida | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 63% |
| Sets won | 53% | 60% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Uchida | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Uchida | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
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