Kaichi Uchida vs Quinn VandecasteelePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Kaichi Uchida and Quinn Vandecasteele have met 1 time since 2026; Quinn Vandecasteele leads 1–0. Across all meetings Uchida has taken 0 sets to Vandecasteele's 2. Their most recent meeting: Quinn Vandecasteele won at Dublin Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Uchida | Vandecasteele | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kaichi Uchida | Quinn Vandecasteele | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 26/37 | 82% | 32/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 10/32 | 34% | 11/32 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 21/69 | 25% | 18/71 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 23/38 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 12/29 | 63% | 19/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 7/17 | 54% | 13/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 30/35 | 83% | 34/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 26/35 | 78% | 32/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Uchida 0, Vandecasteele 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Uchida
🤖 Servebot
Vandecasteele
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 321 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Kaichi Uchida.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 14, 2026
Dublin Challenger
G Grass · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Uchida | Vandecasteele | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Kaichi Uchida | Quinn Vandecasteele | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 3/4 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 3/4 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 1/4 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Uchida | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–6 | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | 3.16 | 2.54 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -34.2% |
| Units P/L | -6.00u | -3.42u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Uchida | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | CHN | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Vandecasteele has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Uchida's 38%).
| Opponent | Uchida | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| James Duckworth | L 36 67 | L 26 16 |
| Daniel Milavsky | L 46 36 | L 61 36 36 |
| Masamichi Imamura | W 36 75 63 | L 36 36 |
| Cruz Hewitt | W 62 64 | W 61 64 |
| Charles Broom | L 67 57 | L 36 16 |
| Justin Boulais | L 36 46 | W 62 64 |
| Max Wiskandt | W 76 76 | W 57 64 75 |
| Renta Tokuda | L 36 61 46 | W 67 75 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tianhui Zhang
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Aug 26
Alexis Galarneau
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Daniel Milavsky
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 9
Jack Kennedy
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 29
Bernard Tomic
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Quinn Vandecasteele
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 19
Max Houkes
Tunis Challenger · 1st Round
May 11
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Abedallah Shelbayh
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 13
Tristan Schoolkate
Brownsburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Maxwell Exsted
M25 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 4
Keshav Chopra
Lincoln challenger
Jul 12
Daniel Milavsky
Newport challenger
Jul 8
James Trotter
Newport challenger
Jul 7
Masamichi Imamura
Cary challenger
Jun 28
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 69–71 matches
| Metric | Uchida | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 55% |
| Sets won | 53% | 56% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Uchida | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Uchida | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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