Kaichi Uchida vs Max HoukesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Kaichi Uchida and Max Houkes have met 1 time since 2026; Max Houkes leads 1–0. Across all meetings Uchida has taken 0 sets to Houkes's 2. Their most recent meeting: Max Houkes won at Tunis Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Uchida | Houkes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kaichi Uchida | Max Houkes | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 26/37 | 72% | 44/61 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 10/32 | 34% | 10/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 21/69 | 30% | 27/90 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 23/38 | 57% | 27/47 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 12/29 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 7/17 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 30/35 | 90% | 52/58 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 26/35 | 76% | 44/58 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Uchida 0, Houkes 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Uchida
🤖 Servebot
Houkes
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Kaichi Uchida.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 11, 2026
Tunis Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Uchida | Houkes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Kaichi Uchida | Max Houkes | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 3/4 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 3/4 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 1/4 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Uchida | Houkes |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–6 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 3.16 | 2.06 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -8.1% |
| Units P/L | -6.00u | -0.97u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Uchida | Houkes |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | — | 185 mi · 297 km |
| Route | CHN | GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Houkes has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Uchida's 0%).
| Opponent | Uchida | Houkes |
|---|---|---|
| Max Schoenhaus | L 57 76 26 | W 64 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tianhui Zhang
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Aug 26
Alexis Galarneau
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Daniel Milavsky
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 9
Jack Kennedy
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 29
Bernard Tomic
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Quinn Vandecasteele
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 19
Max Houkes
Tunis Challenger · 1st Round
May 11
Jan Kumstat
Hamburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Sumit Nagal
Hamburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Jerome Kym
Hagen Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Vilius Gaubas
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Roberto Carballes Baena
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Patrick Zahraj
M25 Metzingen · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Imanol Lopez Morillo
M25 Metzingen · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Stefan Popovic
M25 Metzingen · 1st Round
Jul 22
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 69–90 matches
| Metric | Uchida | Houkes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 68% |
| Sets won | 53% | 64% |
| Games won | 51% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Uchida | Houkes |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Uchida | Houkes |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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