Kaichi Uchida vs Kasidit SamrejPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฏ๐ตKaichi Uchida
#386 ยท 32 yrs ยท R
3 meetings ยท sets 6โ1

๐น๐ญKasidit Samrej
#397 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
5Kaichi Uchida and Kasidit Samrej have met 3 times since 2020; Kaichi Uchida leads 3โ0. Their first meeting came at Bangkok Challenger in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Uchida leads 3โ0. Uchida has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Uchida has taken 6 sets to Samrej's 1. Their most recent meeting: Kaichi Uchida won at M15 Nakhon Pathom 3 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Uchida | Samrej | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kaichi Uchida | Kasidit Samrej | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 14/22 | 72% | 33/46 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 11/35 | 32% | 9/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 19/57 | 30% | 22/74 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 10/23 | 58% | 22/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 13/31 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 6/14 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 17/24 | 90% | 38/42 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 14/24 | 79% | 33/42 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Uchida 2, Samrej 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Uchida
๐ค Servebot
Samrej
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Kaichi Uchida and Kasidit Samrej are ๐ค Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 2, 2025
M15 Nakhon Pathom 3
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Oct 22, 2024
Taipei 2 Challenger
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Jan 20, 2020
Bangkok Challenger
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Uchida | Samrej | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Kaichi Uchida | Kasidit Samrej | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 84% | 16/19 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 74% | 14/19 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Uchida | Samrej |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2โ7 | 10โ8 |
| Avg odds | 3.43 | 2.08 |
| ROI % | -60.0% | +8.1% |
| Units P/L | -5.40u | +1.46u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Uchida | Samrej |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 2 | โ |
| Distance | 765 mi ยท 1,231 km | โ |
| Route | CHN | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Uchida has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Samrej's 33%).
| Opponent | Uchida | Samrej |
|---|---|---|
| Fajing Sun | L 46 26 | L 46 57 |
| Yuta Shimizu | W 61 62 | L 46 46 |
| Linang Xiao | L 36 57 | W 63 60 |
| Bernard Tomic | L 36 26 | W 75 76 |
| Hyeon Chung | W 63 60 | L 26 63 16 |
| August Holmgren | L 67 75 26 | L 63 46 67 |
| Rei Sakamoto | L 64 67 46 | L 46 67 |
| Igor Marcondes | W 64 62 | L 36 46 |
| Oliver Crawford | W 67 63 64 | W 64 36 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ilya Ivashka
Jinan Challenger ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 12
Jesse Delaney
Jinan Challenger ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Ryan Seggerman
Wuning 3 Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Oct 8
Masamichi Imamura
Wuning 3 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Oct 6
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Rio Noguchi
Guangzhou Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 14
Linang Xiao
Shanghai Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 7
Hanyi Liu
Zhangjiagang Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Fajing Sun
Wuning 3 Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Oct 8
Enzo Aguiard
Wuning 3 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Oct 6
Yuta Shimizu
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 9
Sidharth Rawat
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 8
Ilia Simakin
Zhangjiagang Challenger ยท Final
Sep 6
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Zhangjiagang Challenger ยท Semifinals
Sep 5
Enzo Aguiard
Zhangjiagang Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Bernard Tomic
Zhangjiagang Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 57โ75 matches
| Metric | Uchida | Samrej |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 39% | 61% |
| Sets won | 41% | 59% |
| Games won | 47% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Uchida | Samrej |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Uchida | Samrej |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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