Jurij Rodionov vs Niels McDonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐นJurij Rodionov
#140 ยท 27 yrs ยท L
4w2 meetings ยท sets 2โ2
๐ฉ๐ชNiels McDonald
#491 ยท 18 yrs ยท R
Jurij Rodionov and Niels McDonald have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1โ1. Their first meeting came at Hagen Challenger in 2025 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1โ1. Across all meetings Rodionov has taken 2 sets to McDonald's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jurij Rodionov won at Bonn Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rodionov | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jurij Rodionov | Niels McDonald | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 30/42 | 64% | 18/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 10/25 | 26% | 7/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 22/67 | 31% | 17/55 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 22/42 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 15/22 | 40% | 10/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 14/24 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 35/40 | 87% | 20/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 30/40 | 78% | 18/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rodionov 1, McDonald 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rodionov
๐ฅ Big Hitter
McDonald
๐พ All-Court
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐พ All-Court is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 656 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 29, 2026
Bonn Challenger
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29, 2025
Hagen Challenger
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rodionov | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jurij Rodionov | Niels McDonald | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 5 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 10 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Rodionov | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11โ4 | 4โ7 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.99 |
| ROI % | +22.6% | -50.3% |
| Units P/L | +3.39u | -5.53u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rodionov | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 1 |
| Events | โ | 1 |
| Matches | โ | 1 |
| Distance | โ | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | โ | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Rodionov and McDonald posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Rodionov | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Krumich | W 63 62 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zizou Bergs
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, AUT-BEL ยท Rubber 4
Sep 19
Gauthier Onclin
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, AUT-BEL ยท Rubber 1
Sep 18
Daniel Masur
Cassis Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 9
Matisse Bobichon
Cassis Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 8
Jakub Mensik
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Frederico Ferreira Silva
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Jakub Paul
Roanne Challenger ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Niels Visker
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Zaccharie Cado
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Enrico Dalla Valle
Porto Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Cezar Cretu
Augsburg Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 25
Marvin Moeller
Hamburg Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Eduardo Ribeiro
Hamburg Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 12
Mika Petkovic
Hamburg Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 55โ70 matches
| Metric | Rodionov | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 51% |
| Sets won | 59% | 50% |
| Games won | 53% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rodionov | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rodionov | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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