Jurij Rodionov vs Niels McDonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jurij Rodionov and Niels McDonald have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Hagen Challenger in 2025 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Rodionov has taken 2 sets to McDonald's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jurij Rodionov won at Bonn Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rodionov | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jurij Rodionov | Niels McDonald | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 27/40 | 62% | 16/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 10/28 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 23/68 | 35% | 17/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 20/45 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 16/22 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 12/26 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 33/38 | 82% | 18/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 27/38 | 73% | 16/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rodionov 1, McDonald 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rodionov
💥 Big Hitter
McDonald
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 58% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 311 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jurij Rodionov.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 29, 2026
Bonn Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jul 29, 2025
Hagen Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rodionov | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jurij Rodionov | Niels McDonald | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 93% | 26/28 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 32% | 9/28 |
| 5 or more | 60% | 9/15 | 14% | 4/28 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/28 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/28 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/28 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rodionov | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 18–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | -16.8% | +24.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.68u | +5.94u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rodionov | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 545 mi · 877 km |
| Route | CAN | GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Rodionov and McDonald posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Rodionov | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Krumich | W 63 62 | W 64 64 |
| Daniil Glinka | L 26 46 | L 26 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Jamie Mackenzie
Bonn Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Niels McDonald
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 27
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Joel Schwaerzler
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 20
Clement Tabur
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 13
Mathys Erhard
Milan Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Cezar Cretu
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Marvin Moeller
Hamburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Eduardo Ribeiro
Hamburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Mika Petkovic
Hamburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 10
Jerome Kym
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Jurij Rodionov
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Dimitris Sakellaridis
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Federico Agustin Gomez
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–69 matches
| Metric | Rodionov | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 53% |
| Sets won | 56% | 51% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rodionov | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rodionov | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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