Juncheng Shang vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇳Juncheng Shang
#227 · 21 yrs · L
2 meetings · sets 5–1
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#209 · 33 yrs · R
5wJuncheng Shang and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 2 times since 2024; Juncheng Shang leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Bordeaux Challenger in 2024 on clay. Shang has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Shang has taken 5 sets to Baena's 1. Their most recent meeting: Juncheng Shang won at U.S. Open - New York (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shang | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juncheng Shang | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 4/7 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 4/9 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 7/16 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 30% | 3/10 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 2/6 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 7/10 | 85% | 22/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 40% | 4/10 | 58% | 15/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shang 0, Carballes Baena 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shang
🎯 Baseliner
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 790 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Juncheng Shang.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 28, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 16, 2024
Bordeaux Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shang | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juncheng Shang | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 60% | 3/5 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shang | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–3 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.12 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | +10.0% | -20.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.50u | -2.84u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shang | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Andrey Rublev
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 2
Kei Nishikori
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Daniil Medvedev
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 24
Daniil Medvedev
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha · 1st Round
Feb 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round
Jan 22
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mark Ceban
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Sebastian Ofner
Parma Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Stefano Travaglia
Parma Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Miguel Damas
Parma Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 18–47 matches
| Metric | Shang | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 55% |
| Sets won | 46% | 54% |
| Games won | 49% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shang | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shang | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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