John Millman vs Taro DanielPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
John Millman and Taro Daniel have met 6 times since 2015; they are level 3–3. Their first meeting came at Aptos in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Millman leads 3–1. On clay courts Daniel leads 2–0. Daniel has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Millman leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Millman has taken 7 sets to Daniel's 6. Their most recent meeting: Taro Daniel won at ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Millman | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | John Millman | Taro Daniel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 73% | 29/40 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 38% | 8/21 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 31% | 19/61 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 60% | 15/25 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 77% | 23/30 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 53% | 10/19 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 83% | 35/42 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 69% | 29/42 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Millman 3, Daniel 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Millman
🎯 Baseliner
Daniel
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 979 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward John Millman.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Apr 9, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 22, 2021
Serbia Open - Belgrade
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 4, 2019
Tokyo
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 7, 2018
Winston-Salem
H Hard · Round of 64
Nov 15, 2015
Kobe
H Hard · Final
Aug 11, 2015
Aptos
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Millman | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.73 |
| ROI % | - | +5.1% |
| Units P/L | - | +0.82u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Millman | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 2,283 mi · 3,674 km |
| Route | — | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Molcan
Australian Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 11
Alessandro Giannessi
Australian Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 10
Stefano Travaglia
US Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Alejandro Tabilo
US Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Titouan Droguet
Cherbourg Challenger · 1st Round
Feb 14
Daniil Medvedev
Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round
Jan 18
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round
Jan 16
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide · 2nd Round
Jan 11
Shintaro Mochizuki
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Fabian Marozsan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Dane Sweeny
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Hayato Matsuoka
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Jake Delaney
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Matthew Dellavedova
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–61 matches
| Metric | Millman | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 66% |
| Sets won | - | 62% |
| Games won | - | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Millman | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Millman | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.