John Millman vs Taro DanielPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
John Millman and Taro Daniel have met 6 times since 2015; they are level 3–3. Their first meeting came at Aptos in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Millman leads 3–1. On clay courts Daniel leads 2–0. Daniel has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Millman leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Millman has taken 7 sets to Daniel's 6. Their most recent meeting: Taro Daniel won at ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Millman | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | John Millman | Taro Daniel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 71% | 25/35 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 38% | 8/21 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 32% | 18/56 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 59% | 10/17 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 74% | 25/34 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 42% | 8/19 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 88% | 29/33 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 76% | 25/33 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Millman 3, Daniel 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Millman
⚙️ Grinder
Daniel
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 279 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Apr 9, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 19, 2021
Belgrade 1
C Clay · Round of 16
Oct 4, 2019
Tokyo
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 7, 2018
Winston-Salem
H Hard · Round of 64
Nov 15, 2015
Kobe
H Hard · Final
Aug 11, 2015
Aptos
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Millman | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 16–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.09 |
| ROI % | - | +63.8% |
| Units P/L | - | +12.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Millman | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Molcan
Australian Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 11
Alessandro Giannessi
Australian Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 10
Stefano Travaglia
US Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Alejandro Tabilo
US Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Titouan Droguet
Cherbourg · Round of 32
Feb 14
Daniil Medvedev
Australian Open · Round of 64
Jan 18
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Adelaide 2 · Round of 16
Jan 11
Albert Ramos-Vinolas
Adelaide 2 · Round of 32
Jan 10
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Jan Choinski
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Duncan Chan
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Botic van de Zandschulp
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Bastad
Jul 13
Federico Coria
Bastad
Jul 12
Valentin Royer
Iasi Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–56 matches
| Metric | Millman | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 63% |
| Sets won | - | 60% |
| Games won | - | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Millman | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Millman | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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