Joel Schwaerzler vs Lorenzo SonegoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Joel Schwaerzler and Lorenzo Sonego have met 1 time since 2026; Lorenzo Sonego leads 1–0. Across all meetings Schwaerzler has taken 0 sets to Sonego's 2. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Sonego won at EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Schwaerzler | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Joel Schwaerzler | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 16/31 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 9/27 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 24/58 | 36% | 13/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 11/33 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 12/25 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 23/34 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 25/28 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 16/28 | 53% | 9/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Schwaerzler 0, Sonego 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Schwaerzler
💥 Big Hitter
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 13, 2026
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Schwaerzler | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Joel Schwaerzler | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Schwaerzler | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.08 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | -21.1% | -18.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.74u | -2.92u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Schwaerzler | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 6 |
| Distance | 6,345 mi · 10,212 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | POL → USA → JAM | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Schwaerzler and Sonego posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Schwaerzler | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Edas Butvilas | W 76 36 63 | L 36 16 |
| Jan Choinski | L 46 64 46 | W 46 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kenta Miyoshi
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Andy Andrade
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 12
Andrea Guerrieri
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Final
Aug 9
Mathys Erhard
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 8
Ilya Ivashka
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Aziz Dougaz
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jiri Cizek
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Martin Krumich
Liberec Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Juncheng Shang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Joel Schwaerzler
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 13
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–58 matches
| Metric | Schwaerzler | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 47% |
| Sets won | 51% | 46% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Schwaerzler | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Schwaerzler | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.