Joel Schwaerzler vs Jurij RodionovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐นJoel Schwaerzler
#171 ยท 20 yrs ยท L
Title2 meetings ยท sets 1โ4

๐ฆ๐นJurij Rodionov
#143 ยท 27 yrs ยท L
Joel Schwaerzler and Jurij Rodionov have met 2 times since 2025; Jurij Rodionov leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at Bonn Challenger in 2025 on clay. On clay courts Rodionov leads 2โ0. Rodionov has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Schwaerzler has taken 1 sets to Rodionov's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jurij Rodionov won at Generali Open - Kitzbuhel (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Schwaerzler | Rodionov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Joel Schwaerzler | Jurij Rodionov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 16/31 | 68% | 27/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 9/27 | 36% | 10/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 24/58 | 34% | 23/68 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 11/33 | 44% | 20/45 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 12/25 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 23/34 | 46% | 12/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 25/28 | 87% | 33/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 16/28 | 71% | 27/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Schwaerzler 0, Rodionov 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Schwaerzler
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Rodionov
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Joel Schwaerzler and Jurij Rodionov are ๐ฅ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 20, 2026
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Aug 9, 2025
Bonn Challenger
C Clay ยท Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Schwaerzler | Rodionov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Joel Schwaerzler | Jurij Rodionov | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 5 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 60% | 9/15 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Schwaerzler | Rodionov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ7 | 9โ7 |
| Avg odds | 2.08 | 1.59 |
| ROI % | -21.1% | -16.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.74u | -2.68u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Schwaerzler | Rodionov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 1 |
| Distance | 6,345 mi ยท 10,212 km | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | POL โ USA โ JAM | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Rodionov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Schwaerzler's 17%).
| Opponent | Schwaerzler | Rodionov |
|---|---|---|
| Mathys Erhard | W 36 76 64 | L 36 26 |
| Martin Krumich | L 26 36 | W 63 62 |
| Borna Gojo | L 46 16 | W 75 63 |
| Federico Cina | L 46 16 | W 64 63 |
| Valentin Royer | L 57 63 36 | L 63 46 57 |
| Zsombor Piros | L 57 64 36 | L 57 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kenta Miyoshi
Kingston 1 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 19
Andy Andrade
Brownsburg Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 12
Andrea Guerrieri
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger ยท Final
Aug 9
Mathys Erhard
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 8
Ilya Ivashka
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Aziz Dougaz
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jiri Cizek
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Martin Krumich
Liberec Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Rei Sakamoto
Quebec City Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 18
Jamie Mackenzie
Bonn Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Niels McDonald
Bonn Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Bonn Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 27
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Joel Schwaerzler
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 1st Round
Jul 20
Clement Tabur
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad ยท 1st Round
Jul 13
Mathys Erhard
Milan Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 58โ69 matches
| Metric | Schwaerzler | Rodionov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 58% |
| Sets won | 51% | 56% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Schwaerzler | Rodionov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Schwaerzler | Rodionov |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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