Joao Sousa vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Joao Sousa and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 3 times since 2017; Roberto Carballes Baena leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Rio de Janeiro in 2017 on clay. On clay courts Baena leads 3–0. Baena has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Sousa has taken 0 sets to Baena's 6. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Carballes Baena won at Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sousa | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Joao Sousa | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 58% | 14/24 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 45% | 10/22 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 43% | 20/46 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 44% | 12/27 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 53% | 9/17 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 44% | 7/16 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 83% | 20/24 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 58% | 14/24 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sousa 0, Carballes Baena 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sousa
🏹 Frontrunner
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,152 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 7, 2022
Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 23, 2021
Cordoba Open - Cordoba
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 11, 2017
Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sousa | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.16 |
| ROI % | - | -54.3% |
| Units P/L | - | -3.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Apr 3
Alejandro Moro Canas
Girona Challenger · 2nd Round
Mar 28
Felix Gill
Girona Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 27
Vilius Gaubas
Girona · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 25
Emil Ruusuvuori
Davis Cup, World Group, Q, FIN-POR 3-1 · Rubber 2
Feb 2
Martin Damm
Oeiras 2 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jan 11
Lorenzo Giustino
Oeiras 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Jan 10
Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
Oeiras 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jan 9
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–46 matches
| Metric | Sousa | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 52% |
| Sets won | - | 52% |
| Games won | - | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sousa | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sousa | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
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