Joao Fonseca vs Lorenzo SonegoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Joao Fonseca and Lorenzo Sonego have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Bucharest Open - Bucharest in 2024 on clay. Across all meetings Fonseca has taken 4 sets to Sonego's 3. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Sonego won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fonseca | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Joao Fonseca | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 13/18 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 7/12 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 12/30 | 38% | 14/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 11/22 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 5/8 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 15/17 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 53% | 10/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fonseca 1, Sonego 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fonseca
💥 Big Hitter
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 16, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 16, 2024
Bucharest Open - Bucharest
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fonseca | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Joao Fonseca | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 3/4 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 2/4 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 2/4 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 39% | 5/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fonseca | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–1 | 4–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 2.58 |
| ROI % | +18.8% | -46.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.94u | -6.09u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fonseca | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km |
| Route | — | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fonseca has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Sonego's 14%).
| Opponent | Fonseca | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | L 57 76 36 | L 46 63 76 57 46 |
| Ben Shelton | L 36 67 | L 57 36 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 76 64 | L 67 67 |
| Gabriel Diallo | W 62 63 | W 76 46 76 67 62 |
| Tommy Paul | W 62 63 | L 36 26 46 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 75 36 46 | L 36 36 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 64 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dominic Stricker
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, BRA-SUI 3-1 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Botic van de Zandschulp
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 10
Casper Ruud
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Stefanos Tsitsipas
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Jesper de Jong
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Roberto Bautista Agut
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Aziz Dougaz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Kamil Majchrzak
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
James Duckworth
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–45 matches
| Metric | Fonseca | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 44% |
| Sets won | 59% | 46% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fonseca | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fonseca | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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