Joao Fonseca vs Lorenzo SonegoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Joao Fonseca and Lorenzo Sonego have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Bucharest Open - Bucharest in 2024 on clay. Across all meetings Fonseca has taken 4 sets to Sonego's 3. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Sonego won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fonseca | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Joao Fonseca | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 15/20 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 7/12 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 12/32 | 36% | 13/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 6/9 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 18/20 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 15/20 | 53% | 9/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fonseca 1, Sonego 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fonseca
💥 Big Hitter
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 16, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 16, 2024
Bucharest Open - Bucharest
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fonseca | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Joao Fonseca | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 10 or more | 22% | 2/9 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fonseca | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | -21.7% | -18.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.95u | -2.92u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fonseca | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fonseca has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Sonego's 22%).
| Opponent | Fonseca | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Shelton | L 36 67 | L 57 36 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 76 64 | L 67 67 |
| Gabriel Diallo | W 62 63 | W 76 46 76 67 62 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 26 26 | L 62 36 16 |
| Tommy Paul | W 62 63 | L 36 26 46 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 75 36 46 | L 36 36 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 57 76 36 | L 46 36 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 64 63 | W 26 63 75 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 64 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Botic van de Zandschulp
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 10
Casper Ruud
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Stefanos Tsitsipas
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Jesper de Jong
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Roberto Bautista Agut
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Yannick Hanfmann
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Juncheng Shang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Joel Schwaerzler
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–43 matches
| Metric | Fonseca | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 47% |
| Sets won | 61% | 46% |
| Games won | 53% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fonseca | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fonseca | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.