Jesper de Jong vs Tomas MachacPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jesper de Jong and Tomas Machac have met 3 times since 2022; Tomas Machac leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Machac leads 2–0. Machac has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Jong has taken 1 sets to Machac's 6. Their most recent meeting: Tomas Machac won at Terra Wortmann Open - Halle (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Jong | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jesper de Jong | Tomas Machac | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 12/24 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 9/25 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 21/49 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 29% | 10/34 | 21% | 3/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 31% | 4/13 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 14/20 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 16/21 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 12/21 | 63% | 5/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Jong 0, Machac 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Jong
👑 The Complete Package
Machac
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tomas Machac.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 17, 2025
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass · 1st Round
Jan 8, 2022
Traralgon Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 3, 2022
Australian Open
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Jong | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jesper de Jong | Tomas Machac | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Jong | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–8 | 2–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | -40.4% | -56.4% |
| Units P/L | -5.25u | -4.51u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Jong | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 793 mi · 1,276 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | FRA → POR | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Machac has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Jong's 0%).
| Opponent | Jong | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 67 46 | W 76 67 64 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 57 61 26 67 | W 64 64 63 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 46 26 | W 26 64 61 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 67 46 16 | L 46 26 26 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 62 57 46 | L 46 64 36 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 36 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
David Jorda Sanchis
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Harold Mayot
St. Tropez Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Andrea Guerrieri
St. Tropez Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Remy Bertola
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Samuel Heredia
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NED-COL 4-0 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Zizou Bergs
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Francesco Passaro
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Adam Walton
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Zhizhen Zhang
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Arthur Gea
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yannick Hanfmann
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Toby Samuel
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–58 matches
| Metric | Jong | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 48% |
| Sets won | 47% | 48% |
| Games won | 50% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Jong | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Jong | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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