Jesper de Jong vs Tomas MachacPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jesper de Jong and Tomas Machac have met 3 times since 2022; Tomas Machac leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Machac leads 2–0. Machac has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Jong has taken 1 sets to Machac's 6. Their most recent meeting: Tomas Machac won at Terra Wortmann Open - Halle (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Jong | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jesper de Jong | Tomas Machac | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 44% | 11/25 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 8/27 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 22/52 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 27% | 9/33 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 35% | 6/17 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 13/20 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 15/20 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 11/20 | 75% | 6/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Jong 0, Machac 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Jong
💥 Big Hitter
Machac
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Jesper de Jong and Tomas Machac are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 17, 2025
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass · 1st Round
Jan 8, 2022
Traralgon Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 3, 2022
Australian Open
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Jong | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 0–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 1.68 |
| ROI % | -9.7% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.55u | -2.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Jong | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,731 mi · 2,785 km | 313 mi · 503 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Machac has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Jong's 20%).
| Opponent | Jong | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Baez | L 46 26 | W 26 64 61 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 67 46 16 | L 46 26 26 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 62 57 46 | L 46 64 36 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 64 63 | W 36 76 63 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 36 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Adam Walton
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Dane Sweeny
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Alex Michelsen
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Vilius Gaubas
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 13
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Alexander Zverev
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Zizou Bergs
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 7
Cameron Norrie
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 2nd Round
Apr 24
Francisco Comesana
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 22
Andrey Rublev
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–59 matches
| Metric | Jong | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 52% |
| Sets won | 46% | 52% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Jong | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Jong | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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