Jelena Ostapenko vs Xiyu WangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–2
🇨🇳Xiyu Wang
#91 · 25 yrs · Left-Handed
6wJelena Ostapenko and Xiyu Wang have met 3 times since 2021; Jelena Ostapenko leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Ostapenko leads 3–0. Ostapenko has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 6 sets to Wang's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Wang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Xiyu Wang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 89% | 32/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 17/42 | 15% | 7/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | 82% | 28/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 97% | 34/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 91% | 32/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 1, Wang 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Wang
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 24, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 19, 2024
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 24, 2021
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenko | Wang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jelena Ostapenko | Xiyu Wang | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 2.91 |
| ROI % | -34.0% | -13.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.04u | -1.21u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 592 mi · 952 km | — |
| Route | POR → ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Ostapenko and Wang posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Sara Bejlek | L 46 36 | L 36 64 57 |
| Francesca Jones | W 62 62 | W 64 64 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 16 67 | L 36 67 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 36 46 | W |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | W 75 64 | L 36 62 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Iga Swiatek
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Ena Koike
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 1st Round
Aug 23
Madison Keys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Leylah Fernandez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Maria Timofeeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Polina Kudermetova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 13
Bianca Andreescu
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–47 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 77% |
| Sets won | 57% | 74% |
| Games won | 53% | 61% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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