Jelena Ostapenko vs Xin Yu WangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฑ๐ปJelena Ostapenko
#31 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
3 meetings ยท sets 3โ4

๐จ๐ณXin Yu Wang
Unranked ยท 24 yrs ยท Right-Handed
14wJelena Ostapenko and Xin Yu Wang have met 3 times since 2022; Xin Yu Wang leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at St. Petersburg in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Wang leads 2โ1. Wang has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 3 sets to Wang's 4. Their most recent meeting: Xin Yu Wang won at Australian Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Yu Wang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Xin Yu Wang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 15/22 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 25% | 4/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 16/39 | 32% | 9/28 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 12/22 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 0% | 0/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 80% | 8/10 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 15/23 | 70% | 7/10 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 1, Yu Wang 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
๐ The Complete Package
Wang
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
The ๐ The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs ๐ค Servebot across 1,830 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jelena Ostapenko.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 21, 2026
Australian Open
H Hard ยท Round of 64
Mar 7, 2025
Indian Wells
H Hard ยท Round of 64
Feb 9, 2022
St. Petersburg
H Hard ยท Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5โ2 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.74 | - |
| ROI % | -7.7% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.54u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 1 | โ |
| Matches | 1 | โ |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | โ |
| Route | POL | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Wang's 0%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Magda Linette | L 26 62 26 | L 16 57 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 75 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris ยท 2nd Round
May 27
Tamara Korpatsch
Roland Garros ยท Round of 64
May 27
Lilli Tagger
Roland Garros ยท Round of 128
May 26
Lois Boisson
Strasbourg ยท Round of 32
May 19
Alexandra Eala
Rome ยท Round of 64
May 7
Laura Samson
Madrid ยท Round of 64
Apr 23
Chloe Paquet
Rouen ยท Round of 32
Apr 15
Caty Mcnally
Miami ยท Round of 64
Mar 19
Ajla Tomljanovic
Indian Wells ยท Round of 64
Mar 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 28โ39 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 43% |
| Sets won | 56% | 43% |
| Games won | 52% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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