Jelena Ostapenko vs Xin Yu WangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฑ๐ปJelena Ostapenko
#34 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
3 meetings ยท sets 3โ4

๐จ๐ณXin Yu Wang
#39 ยท 24 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Jelena Ostapenko and Xin Yu Wang have met 3 times since 2022; Xin Yu Wang leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at St. Petersburg in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Wang leads 2โ1. Wang has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 3 sets to Wang's 4. Their most recent meeting: Xin Yu Wang won at Australian Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Yu Wang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Xin Yu Wang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 17/42 | 35% | 11/31 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 0% | 0/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 69% | 9/13 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 1, Yu Wang 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Wang
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 21, 2026
Australian Open
H Hard ยท Round of 64
Mar 7, 2025
Indian Wells
H Hard ยท Round of 64
Feb 9, 2022
St. Petersburg
H Hard ยท Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenko | Wang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jelena Ostapenko | Xin Yu Wang | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2โ4 | 2โ2 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 1.60 |
| ROI % | -34.0% | -23.5% |
| Units P/L | -2.04u | -0.94u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 592 mi ยท 952 km | 2,779 mi ยท 4,472 km |
| Route | POR โ ROU | SGP โ ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Wang's 0%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 61 62 | L 57 62 36 |
| Magda Linette | L 26 62 26 | L 16 57 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 75 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul ยท 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul ยท 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Sonay Kartal
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tatiana Prozorova
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Joanna Garland
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท 2nd Round
Sep 24
Donna Vekic
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท 1st Round
Sep 22
Anna Kalinskaya
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 2
Tamara Korpatsch
Roland Garros ยท Round of 64
May 27
Lilli Tagger
Roland Garros ยท Round of 128
May 26
Lois Boisson
Strasbourg ยท Round of 32
May 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 31โ42 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 45% |
| Sets won | 57% | 47% |
| Games won | 53% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Wang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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