Jelena Ostapenko vs Taylor TownsendPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#31 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 2–5
🇺🇸Taylor Townsend
#95 · 30 yrs · Left-Handed
Jelena Ostapenko and Taylor Townsend have met 3 times since 2018; Taylor Townsend leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at US Open in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Townsend leads 2–1. Townsend has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 2 sets to Townsend's 5. Their most recent meeting: Taylor Townsend won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Townsend | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Taylor Townsend | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 15/22 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 16/39 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 12/22 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 15/23 | 75% | 9/12 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 0, Townsend 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Townsend
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 1,830 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jelena Ostapenko.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 27, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 9, 2024
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 29, 2018
US Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenko | Townsend | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jelena Ostapenko | Taylor Townsend | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 4–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.74 | 2.75 |
| ROI % | -7.7% | -7.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.54u | -0.56u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Townsend's 25%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | W 63 61 | W 36 63 63 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 26 62 63 | L 63 16 46 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 36 46 | L 36 76 36 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 57 62 75 | L 36 61 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Belinda Bencic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Marie Bouzkova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Tereza Valentova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Iga Swiatek
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Bad Homburg WTA
Jun 21
Martina Trevisan
Bad Homburg WTA
Jun 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 24–39 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 50% |
| Sets won | 56% | 53% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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