Jelena Ostapenko vs Sonay KartalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 3–2
🇬🇧Sonay Kartal
#170 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
Jelena Ostapenko and Sonay Kartal have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Rothesay International - Eastbourne in 2025 on grass. On grass courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 3 sets to Kartal's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sonay Kartal won at Wimbledon - London (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Kartal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Sonay Kartal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 17/42 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 100% | 15/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 80% | 12/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 1, Kartal 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Kartal
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Jelena Ostapenko and Sonay Kartal are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 30, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Jun 24, 2025
Rothesay International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 3–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | -34.0% | +16.5% |
| Units P/L | -2.04u | +0.66u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 592 mi · 952 km | 654 mi · 1,053 km |
| Route | POR → ROU | ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Ostapenko and Kartal posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Xin Yu Wang | L 64 46 46 | W 63 62 |
| Magda Linette | L 26 62 26 | L 46 63 36 |
| Ella Seidel | W 64 64 | W 63 61 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 61 62 | L 67 16 |
| Simona Waltert | W 62 75 | W 75 26 64 |
| Sara Bejlek | L 46 36 | L 06 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Anhelina Kalinina
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Xin Yu Wang
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Elena Rybakina
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 4th Round
Mar 11
Madison Keys
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 3rd Round
Mar 9
Emma Navarro
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round
Mar 7
Lanlana Tararudee
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 23–42 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 70% |
| Sets won | 57% | 66% |
| Games won | 53% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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