Jelena Ostapenko vs Sonay KartalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#31 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 3–2
🇬🇧Sonay Kartal
#123 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
25wJelena Ostapenko and Sonay Kartal have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Rothesay International - Eastbourne in 2025 on grass. On grass courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 3 sets to Kartal's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sonay Kartal won at Wimbledon - London (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Kartal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Sonay Kartal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 15/22 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 16/39 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 12/22 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 92% | 12/13 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 15/23 | 69% | 9/13 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 1, Kartal 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Kartal
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 30, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Jun 24, 2025
Rothesay International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.74 | - |
| ROI % | -7.7% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.54u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Ostapenko and Kartal posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Magda Linette | L 26 62 26 | L 46 63 36 |
| Ella Seidel | W 64 64 | W 63 61 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 61 62 | L 67 16 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 75 26 46 | W 75 26 75 |
| Sara Bejlek | L 46 36 | L 06 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Madison Keys
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 3rd Round
Mar 9
Emma Navarro
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round
Mar 7
Lanlana Tararudee
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Magda Linette
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 1st Round
Feb 8
Sara Bejlek
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi · Quarterfinals
Feb 5
Renata Zarazua
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi · 2nd Round
Feb 4
Cristina Bucsa
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi · 1st Round
Feb 2
Anna Kalinskaya
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round
Jan 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 20–39 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 65% |
| Sets won | 56% | 63% |
| Games won | 52% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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