Jelena Ostapenko vs Sofia KeninPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 5–5
🇺🇸Sofia Kenin
#125 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
4Jelena Ostapenko and Sofia Kenin have met 4 times since 2020; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Fed Cup, World Group, PO, USA-LAT 3-2 in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Ostapenko leads 2–1. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 5 sets to Kenin's 5. Their most recent meeting: Sofia Kenin won at Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Sofia Kenin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 17/42 | 41% | 15/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 40% | 6/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 1, Kenin 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Kenin
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 404 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jelena Ostapenko.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 20, 2023
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 15, 2022
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
May 31, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 8, 2020
Fed Cup, World Group, PO, USA-LAT 3-2
H Hard · Rubber 3
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenko | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jelena Ostapenko | Sofia Kenin | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 2–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 3.54 |
| ROI % | -34.0% | -63.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.04u | -5.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 592 mi · 952 km | 1,246 mi · 2,005 km |
| Route | POR → ROU | POR → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Kenin's 17%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 64 36 26 | L 36 16 |
| Lucrezia Stefanini | W 60 61 | L 57 61 26 |
| Oksana Selekhmeteva | W 57 76 62 | L 61 46 16 |
| Qinwen Zheng | W 46 64 64 | L 61 36 36 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 26 62 63 | W 64 46 63 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 64 62 | L 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Kamilla Rakhimova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Ashlyn Krueger
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alina Charaeva
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Venus Williams
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Eva Lys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Lucrezia Stefanini
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–42 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 27% |
| Sets won | 57% | 35% |
| Games won | 53% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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