Jelena Ostapenko vs Sofia KeninPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#31 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 5–5
🇺🇸Sofia Kenin
#110 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
Jelena Ostapenko and Sofia Kenin have met 4 times since 2020; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Fed Cup, World Group, PO, USA-LAT 3-2 in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Ostapenko leads 2–1. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 5 sets to Kenin's 5. Their most recent meeting: Sofia Kenin won at Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Sofia Kenin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 15/22 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 16/39 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 12/22 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 15/23 | 43% | 6/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 1, Kenin 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Kenin
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 229 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sofia Kenin.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 20, 2023
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 15, 2022
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
May 31, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 8, 2020
Fed Cup, World Group, PO, USA-LAT 3-2
H Hard · Rubber 3
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenko | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jelena Ostapenko | Sofia Kenin | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.74 | 3.27 |
| ROI % | -7.7% | -32.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.54u | -2.94u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | POL | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Kenin's 40%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Qinwen Zheng | W 46 64 64 | L 61 36 36 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 26 62 63 | W 64 46 63 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 57 62 75 | L 36 06 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 64 62 | L 67 36 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 67 63 64 | W 36 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Eva Lys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Emma Navarro
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Amanda Anisimova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Petra Marcinko
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Daria Snigur
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Viktorija Golubic
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · 1st Round
Jun 16
Viktorija Golubic
Nottingham
Jun 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 36–39 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 33% |
| Sets won | 56% | 38% |
| Games won | 52% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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