Jelena Ostapenko vs Renata ZarazuaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#31 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–1
🇲🇽Renata Zarazua
#71 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
3Jelena Ostapenko and Renata Zarazua have met 1 time since 2025; Jelena Ostapenko leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 2 sets to Zarazua's 1. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Zarazua | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Renata Zarazua | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 15/22 | 57% | 23/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 24% | 6/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 16/39 | 35% | 23/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 12/22 | 43% | 15/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 91% | 32/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 15/23 | 66% | 23/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 0, Zarazua 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Zarazua
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 821 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 30, 2025
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenko | Zarazua | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jelena Ostapenko | Renata Zarazua | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 9–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.74 | 2.81 |
| ROI % | -7.7% | +10.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.54u | +1.73u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 2,526 mi · 4,066 km |
| Route | POL | ECU → CAN → AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zarazua has a higher win rate against shared opponents (38% vs Ostapenko's 25%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 67 63 64 | W 64 60 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 75 | L 16 26 |
| Xi Yao Wang | L 64 46 46 | L 16 26 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 36 46 | W 36 63 64 |
| Priscilla Hon | L 36 26 | L 26 62 46 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 36 26 | L 16 16 |
| Xin Yu Wang | L 64 46 46 | L 57 46 |
| Marina Stakusic | L 46 76 26 | W 64 36 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Clara Tauson
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Tamara Korpatsch
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anastasia Zakharova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · Quarterfinals
Aug 1
Darja Vidmanova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · Semifinals
Aug 1
Tatjana Maria
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mccartney Kessler
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Caroline Dolehide
W100 Evansville · Semifinals
Jul 25
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–66 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 62% |
| Sets won | 56% | 56% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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