Jelena Ostapenko vs Renata ZarazuaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–1
🇲🇽Renata Zarazua
#85 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Jelena Ostapenko and Renata Zarazua have met 1 time since 2025; Jelena Ostapenko leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 2 sets to Zarazua's 1. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Zarazua | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Renata Zarazua | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 60% | 25/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 26% | 9/34 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 17/42 | 34% | 26/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | 44% | 17/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | 35% | 11/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 89% | 34/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 66% | 25/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 0, Zarazua 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Zarazua
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 404 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jelena Ostapenko.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 30, 2025
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenko | Zarazua | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jelena Ostapenko | Renata Zarazua | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 47% | 9/19 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 9–10 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 2.94 |
| ROI % | -34.0% | -0.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.04u | -0.06u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 7 |
| Distance | 592 mi · 952 km | — |
| Route | POR → ROU | POR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Zarazua's 40%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Sramkova | W 64 64 | L 57 36 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 46 46 | L 16 36 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 64 61 | W 64 60 |
| Tatjana Maria | L 64 16 26 | W 64 64 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 75 | L 16 26 |
| Xi Yao Wang | L 64 46 46 | L 16 26 |
| Simona Waltert | W 62 75 | W 64 63 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 36 46 | W 36 63 64 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 36 26 | L 16 16 |
| Oksana Selekhmeteva | W 57 76 62 | L |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Rebecca Sramkova
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · Semifinals
Oct 10
Katarina Zavatska
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Darya Astakhova
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Han Shi
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 1st Round
Oct 6
Aryna Sabalenka
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Anna Bondar
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Anna Bondar
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Caroline Dolehide
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–77 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 56% |
| Sets won | 57% | 53% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.