Jelena Ostapenko vs Rebecca SramkovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#31 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 8–3
🇸🇰Rebecca Sramkova
#151 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
4wJelena Ostapenko and Rebecca Sramkova have met 4 times since 2019; Jelena Ostapenko leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Fed Cup WG2 R1: SVK vs LAT in 2019 on hard. On clay courts Ostapenko leads 2–0. On hard courts Ostapenko leads 2–0. Ostapenko has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 8 sets to Sramkova's 3. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Sramkova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Rebecca Sramkova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 15/22 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 16/39 | 41% | 13/32 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 12/22 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 15/23 | 53% | 8/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 1, Sramkova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Sramkova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 1,830 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jelena Ostapenko.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 20, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
May 8, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 13, 2024
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 4th Round
Feb 9, 2019
Fed Cup WG2 R1: SVK vs LAT
H Hard · Round Robin
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenko | Sramkova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jelena Ostapenko | Rebecca Sramkova | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Sramkova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.74 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | -7.7% | -46.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.54u | -3.28u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Sramkova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | POL | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Sramkova's 40%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Sramkova |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 46 46 | L 64 36 16 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 61 62 | W 62 36 63 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 26 62 63 | L 26 26 |
| Oksana Selekhmeteva | W 57 76 62 | W 62 64 |
| Simona Waltert | W 62 75 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Anna Blinkova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Janice Tjen
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Teodora Kostovic
Wimbledon
Jun 24
Viktoria Hruncakova
Wimbledon
Jun 23
Iva Primorac
W100 Zagreb · 1st Round
Jun 10
Akasha Urhobo
Makarska Open - Makarska · 1st Round
Jun 4
Julia Grabher
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 32–39 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Sramkova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 38% |
| Sets won | 56% | 43% |
| Games won | 52% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Sramkova |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
| BJK Cup | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Sramkova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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