Jelena Ostapenko vs Rebecca SramkovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 8–3
🇸🇰Rebecca Sramkova
#134 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
5TitleJelena Ostapenko and Rebecca Sramkova have met 4 times since 2019; Jelena Ostapenko leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Fed Cup WG2 R1: SVK vs LAT in 2019 on hard. On clay courts Ostapenko leads 2–0. On hard courts Ostapenko leads 2–0. Ostapenko has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 8 sets to Sramkova's 3. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Sramkova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Rebecca Sramkova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 79% | 22/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 17/42 | 33% | 18/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 69% | 22/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 1, Sramkova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Sramkova
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Jelena Ostapenko and Rebecca Sramkova are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 20, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
May 8, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 13, 2024
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 4th Round
Feb 9, 2019
Fed Cup WG2 R1: SVK vs LAT
H Hard · Round Robin
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenko | Sramkova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jelena Ostapenko | Rebecca Sramkova | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 36% | 4/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Sramkova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 2.06 |
| ROI % | -34.0% | +16.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.04u | +2.62u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Sramkova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 7 |
| Distance | 592 mi · 952 km | — |
| Route | POR → ROU | SGP → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Sramkova's 43%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Sramkova |
|---|---|---|
| Taylah Preston | L 46 16 | L 46 16 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 64 61 | L 36 26 |
| Antonia Ruzic | W 62 60 | W 57 75 61 |
| Oksana Selekhmeteva | W 57 76 62 | W 62 64 |
| Simona Waltert | W 62 75 | L 46 46 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 36 46 | W 63 75 |
| Katie Volynets | W 64 76 | L |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Kyoka Okamura
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · Final
Oct 11
Renata Zarazua
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · Semifinals
Oct 10
Aliona Falei
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Claire Liu
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Alevtina Ibragimova
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 1st Round
Oct 5
Jodie Burrage
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Alevtina Ibragimova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–55 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Sramkova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 51% |
| Sets won | 57% | 53% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Sramkova |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
| BJK Cup | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Sramkova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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