Jelena Ostapenko vs Polina KudermetovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–1
🇺🇿Polina Kudermetova
#102 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
Jelena Ostapenko and Polina Kudermetova have met 1 time since 2025; Jelena Ostapenko leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 2 sets to Kudermetova's 1. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at French Open - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Kudermetova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Polina Kudermetova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 61% | 23/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 17/42 | 39% | 24/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | 46% | 18/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 74% | 23/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 0, Kudermetova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Kudermetova
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 26, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenko | Kudermetova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jelena Ostapenko | Polina Kudermetova | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Kudermetova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 7–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 2.66 |
| ROI % | -34.0% | -10.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.04u | -1.35u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Kudermetova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 592 mi · 952 km | 1,246 mi · 2,005 km |
| Route | POR → ROU | POR → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Kudermetova's 25%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Kudermetova |
|---|---|---|
| Katie Volynets | W 64 76 | L 26 16 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 75 26 46 | L 46 16 |
| Panna Udvardy | W 36 61 62 | L 46 67 |
| Oksana Selekhmeteva | W 57 76 62 | W 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Katie Volynets
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Mirra Andreeva
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Clara Tauson
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Ye Xin Ma
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Kamilla Rakhimova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 21
Linda Fruhvirtova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 13
Carol Young Suh Lee
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–61 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Kudermetova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 62% |
| Sets won | 57% | 58% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Kudermetova |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Kudermetova |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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