Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula KaniaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇵🇱Paula Kania
Unranked · 33 yrs · Right-Handed
535wJelena Ostapenko and Paula Kania have met 1 time since 2015; Jelena Ostapenko leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 2 sets to Kania's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Quebec City (2015).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Kania | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Paula Kania | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 17/42 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 1, Kania 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Kania
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 60% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,462 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jelena Ostapenko.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 18, 2015
Quebec City
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Kania |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | - |
| ROI % | -34.0% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.04u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Kania |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 592 mi · 952 km | — |
| Route | POR → ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Vania King
Bucharest · Round of 32
Jul 13
Samantha Crawford
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 28
Anna Tatishvili
Bol · Round of 32
Jun 1
Ya Hsuan Lee
Fed Cup WG2 R1: POL vs TPE · Round Robin
Apr 16
Ching Wen Hsu
Fed Cup WG2 R1: POL vs TPE · Round Robin
Apr 16
Viktorija Golubic
Katowice · Round of 32
Apr 6
Venus Williams
Fed Cup WG2 R1: USA vs POL · Round Robin
Feb 6
Daria Kasatkina
Moscow · Round of 32
Oct 21
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–42 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Kania |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | - |
| Sets won | 57% | - |
| Games won | 53% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Kania |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Kania |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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