Jelena Ostapenko vs Moyuka UchijimaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 0–2
🇯🇵Moyuka Uchijima
#121 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
4Jelena Ostapenko and Moyuka Uchijima have met 1 time since 2025; Moyuka Uchijima leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 0 sets to Uchijima's 2. Their most recent meeting: Moyuka Uchijima won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Uchijima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Moyuka Uchijima | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 17/42 | 37% | 19/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 78% | 18/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 0, Uchijima 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Uchijima
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Jelena Ostapenko and Moyuka Uchijima are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Feb 17, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenko | Uchijima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jelena Ostapenko | Moyuka Uchijima | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 2.70 |
| ROI % | -34.0% | -37.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.04u | -4.46u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 592 mi · 952 km | — |
| Route | POR → ROU | POR → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Uchijima's 25%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Magdalena Frech | L 16 36 | L |
| Elise Mertens | L 26 63 36 | L 36 16 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 64 61 | L 26 46 |
| Harriet Dart | W 63 36 64 | L 36 06 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 46 46 | L 36 36 |
| Tereza Valentova | L | W 67 63 61 |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | W 75 64 | L 57 26 |
| Rebecca Sramkova | W 64 64 | W 46 76 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Magdalena Frech
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Zhuoxuan Bai
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 1st Round
Oct 6
Lanlana Tararudee
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 21
Lucie Havlickova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Polona Hercog
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Harriet Dart
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Cristina Bucsa
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–52 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 50% |
| Sets won | 57% | 51% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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