Jelena Ostapenko vs Moyuka UchijimaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#31 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 0–2
🇯🇵Moyuka Uchijima
#99 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
4wJelena Ostapenko and Moyuka Uchijima have met 1 time since 2025; Moyuka Uchijima leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 0 sets to Uchijima's 2. Their most recent meeting: Moyuka Uchijima won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Uchijima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Moyuka Uchijima | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 15/22 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 16/39 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 12/22 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 15/23 | 76% | 16/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 0, Uchijima 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Uchijima
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Feb 17, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenko | Uchijima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jelena Ostapenko | Moyuka Uchijima | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.74 | 3.05 |
| ROI % | -7.7% | -21.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.54u | -1.97u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | POL | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Ostapenko and Uchijima posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 46 46 | L 36 36 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 16 67 | L 62 46 26 |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | W 75 64 | L 57 26 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 67 63 64 | L 26 46 |
| Xi Yao Wang | L 64 46 46 | W 64 76 |
| Xin Yu Wang | L 64 46 46 | W 64 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Cristina Bucsa
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Maddison Inglis
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · Quarterfinals
Jul 30
Hayu Kinoshita
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Miho Kuramochi
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 1st Round
Jul 29
Anna Bondar
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 20
Elina Avanesyan
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Irene Burillo
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–45 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 49% |
| Sets won | 56% | 50% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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