Jelena Ostapenko vs Marina StakusicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#31 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 2–4
🇨🇦Marina Stakusic
#140 · 21 yrs · Right-Handed
26wJelena Ostapenko and Marina Stakusic have met 2 times since 2024; Marina Stakusic leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Stakusic leads 2–0. Stakusic has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 2 sets to Stakusic's 4. Their most recent meeting: Marina Stakusic won at Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Stakusic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Marina Stakusic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 15/22 | 83% | 15/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 16/39 | 23% | 6/26 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 12/22 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 89% | 16/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 15/23 | 83% | 15/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 0, Stakusic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Stakusic
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 6,005 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jelena Ostapenko.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 12, 2025
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 12, 2024
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Stakusic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.74 | - |
| ROI % | -7.7% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.54u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Stakusic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Ostapenko and Stakusic posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Stakusic |
|---|---|---|
| Anastasia Potapova | L 64 46 46 | L 64 16 57 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 64 64 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Anastasia Potapova
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 4
Cristina Bucsa
Merida Open Akron - Merida · 2nd Round
Feb 25
Dayana Yastremska
Merida Open Akron - Merida · 1st Round
Feb 23
Darja Vidmanova
Workday Canberra International - Canberra · 1st Round
Jan 6
Renata Zarazua
Austin 125 - Austin · Final
Nov 9
Iva Jovic
Austin 125 - Austin · Semifinals
Nov 8
Varvara Lepchenko
Austin 125 - Austin · Quarterfinals
Nov 7
Mary Lewis
Austin 125 - Austin · 2nd Round
Nov 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 26–39 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Stakusic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 69% |
| Sets won | 56% | 67% |
| Games won | 52% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Stakusic |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Stakusic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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