Jelena Ostapenko vs Marina StakusicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 2–4
🇨🇦Marina Stakusic
#227 · 21 yrs · Right-Handed
30wJelena Ostapenko and Marina Stakusic have met 2 times since 2024; Marina Stakusic leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Stakusic leads 2–0. Stakusic has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 2 sets to Stakusic's 4. Their most recent meeting: Marina Stakusic won at Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Stakusic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Marina Stakusic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 100% | 16/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 17/42 | 9% | 2/22 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | 82% | 14/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 94% | 16/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 94% | 16/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 0, Stakusic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Stakusic
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jelena Ostapenko.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 12, 2025
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 12, 2024
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Stakusic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | - |
| ROI % | -34.0% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.04u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Stakusic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 592 mi · 952 km | — |
| Route | POR → ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Stakusic's 33%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Stakusic |
|---|---|---|
| Ella Seidel | W 64 64 | L 46 57 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 64 46 46 | L 64 16 57 |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 64 64 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Ella Seidel
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 16
Anastasia Potapova
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 4
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 3rd Round Qualifying
Mar 3
Viktorija Golubic
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 1
Cristina Bucsa
Merida Open Akron - Merida · 2nd Round
Feb 25
Dayana Yastremska
Merida Open Akron - Merida · 1st Round
Feb 23
Priscilla Hon
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round
Jan 19
Lin Zhu
Australian Open - Melbourne · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jan 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 22–42 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Stakusic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 73% |
| Sets won | 57% | 74% |
| Games won | 53% | 60% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Stakusic |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Stakusic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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