Jelena Ostapenko vs Marie BouzkovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#31 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 0–4
🇨🇿Marie Bouzkova
#26 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
Jelena Ostapenko and Marie Bouzkova have met 2 times since 2019; Marie Bouzkova leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Toronto in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Bouzkova leads 2–0. Bouzkova has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 0 sets to Bouzkova's 4. Their most recent meeting: Marie Bouzkova won at Brisbane (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Bouzkova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Marie Bouzkova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 15/22 | 84% | 26/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 24% | 5/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 16/39 | 19% | 10/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 12/22 | 66% | 21/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 15/23 | 84% | 26/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 0, Bouzkova 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Bouzkova
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
Both Jelena Ostapenko and Marie Bouzkova are 👑 The Complete Package types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 3,166 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 1, 2025
Brisbane
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 8, 2019
Toronto
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenko | Bouzkova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jelena Ostapenko | Marie Bouzkova | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 89% | 16/18 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 39% | 7/18 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 6% | 1/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.74 | 1.78 |
| ROI % | -7.7% | +9.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.54u | +1.50u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Ostapenko and Bouzkova posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Lucrezia Stefanini | W 60 61 | W 62 64 |
| Magdalena Frech | L 16 36 | L 36 64 36 |
| Panna Udvardy | W 36 61 62 | W 67 62 62 |
| Francesca Jones | W 62 62 | W 60 76 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 75 26 46 | L 46 26 |
| Magda Linette | L 26 62 26 | W 75 75 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 57 62 75 | L 26 57 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 36 26 | L 57 26 |
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | W 63 61 | W 63 64 |
| Camila Osorio | W 63 61 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Iva Jovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lucrezia Stefanini
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Taylor Townsend
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Tereza Valentova
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Carol Young Suh Lee
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · 1st Round
Jul 20
Elise Mertens
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–52 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 60% |
| Sets won | 56% | 59% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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