Jelena Ostapenko vs Magdalena FrechPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 4–4
🇵🇱Magdalena Frech
#56 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Jelena Ostapenko and Magdalena Frech have met 3 times since 2023; Jelena Ostapenko leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Rothesay Classic - Birmingham in 2023 on grass. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 4 sets to Frech's 4. Their most recent meeting: Magdalena Frech won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Frech | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Magdalena Frech | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 17/42 | 34% | 15/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | 65% | 17/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 57% | 13/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 0, Frech 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Frech
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Jelena Ostapenko and Magdalena Frech are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 15, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 7, 2025
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 23, 2023
Rothesay Classic - Birmingham
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenko | Frech | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jelena Ostapenko | Magdalena Frech | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 3.10 |
| ROI % | -34.0% | -15.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.04u | -2.10u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 592 mi · 952 km | 8,184 mi · 13,171 km |
| Route | POR → ROU | UKR → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Frech's 29%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Antonia Ruzic | W 62 60 | W 62 75 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 64 36 26 | L 63 36 26 |
| Shuai Zhang | L | L 26 46 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 61 62 | L 67 46 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 26 62 63 | W |
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 75 | L 06 63 46 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 57 62 75 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Aoi Ito
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Moyuka Uchijima
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elsa Jacquemot
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Iva Jovic
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Caroline Dolehide
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Nao Hibino
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Iva Jovic
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–44 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 43% |
| Sets won | 57% | 46% |
| Games won | 53% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.