Jelena Ostapenko vs Magdalena FrechPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#31 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 4–4
🇵🇱Magdalena Frech
#37 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Jelena Ostapenko and Magdalena Frech have met 3 times since 2023; Jelena Ostapenko leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Rothesay Classic - Birmingham in 2023 on grass. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 4 sets to Frech's 4. Their most recent meeting: Magdalena Frech won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Frech | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Magdalena Frech | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 15/22 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 16/39 | 36% | 14/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 12/22 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 65% | 17/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 15/23 | 50% | 10/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 0, Frech 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Frech
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 15, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 7, 2025
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 23, 2023
Rothesay Classic - Birmingham
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenko | Frech | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jelena Ostapenko | Magdalena Frech | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 40% | 4/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.74 | 3.40 |
| ROI % | -7.7% | -17.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.54u | -2.13u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Frech's 29%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Antonia Ruzic | W 62 60 | W 62 75 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 64 36 26 | L 63 36 26 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 61 62 | L 67 46 |
| Ella Seidel | W 64 64 | L 57 46 |
| Lucrezia Stefanini | W 60 61 | W 61 76 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 64 75 | L 06 63 46 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 57 62 75 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Jelena Ostapenko
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Antonia Ruzic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jessica Pegula
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Leolia Jeanjean
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Jessica Pegula
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Ann Li
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Anna Kalinskaya
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–39 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 41% |
| Sets won | 56% | 43% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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