Jelena Ostapenko vs Madison BrenglePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 7–2
🇺🇸Madison Brengle
#188 · 36 yrs · Right-Handed
Jelena Ostapenko and Madison Brengle have met 4 times since 2017; Jelena Ostapenko leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Auckland in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Ostapenko leads 2–1. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 7 sets to Brengle's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at French Open - Paris (2020).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Brengle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Madison Brengle | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 77% | 36/47 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 17/42 | 32% | 24/75 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | 57% | 26/46 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 90% | 45/50 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 72% | 36/50 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 3, Brengle 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Brengle
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,929 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jelena Ostapenko.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 29, 2020
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 21, 2017
Miami
H Hard · Round of 128
Mar 2, 2017
Acapulco
H Hard · Round of 16
Jan 6, 2017
Auckland
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenko | Brengle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jelena Ostapenko | Madison Brengle | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Brengle |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 10–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -34.0% | -9.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.04u | -1.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Brengle |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 12 |
| Distance | 592 mi · 952 km | — |
| Route | POR → ROU | USA → TUR → UKR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Brengle's 0%).
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Brengle |
|---|---|---|
| Tatjana Maria | L 64 16 26 | L 36 46 |
| Lucrezia Stefanini | W 60 61 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Astra Sharma
W50 Lexington · Semifinals
Oct 10
Lea Ma
W50 Lexington · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Aspen Schuman
W50 Lexington · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Mckenna Schaefbauer
W50 Lexington · 1st Round
Oct 7
Tatjana Maria
W100 Templeton · Final
Oct 4
Julieta Pareja
W100 Templeton · Semifinals
Oct 4
Amelie Van Impe
W100 Templeton · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Arianna Zucchini
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–75 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Brengle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 63% |
| Sets won | 57% | 61% |
| Games won | 53% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Brengle |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Brengle |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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