Jelena Ostapenko vs Madison BrenglePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π±π»Jelena Ostapenko
#31 Β· 29 yrs Β· Right-Handed
4 meetings Β· sets 7β2

πΊπΈMadison Brengle
#211 Β· 36 yrs Β· Right-Handed
3wJelena Ostapenko and Madison Brengle have met 4 times since 2017; Jelena Ostapenko leads 3β1. Their first meeting came at Auckland in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Ostapenko leads 2β1. Across all meetings Ostapenko has taken 7 sets to Brengle's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at French Open - Paris (2020).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenko | Brengle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelena Ostapenko | Madison Brengle | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 15/22 | 77% | 33/43 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 16/39 | 33% | 21/64 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 12/22 | 61% | 27/44 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 89% | 42/47 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 15/23 | 70% | 33/47 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenko 3, Brengle 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenko
π The Complete Package
Brengle
βοΈ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The π The Complete Package archetype wins about 55% vs βοΈ The Gladiator across 2,688 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jelena Ostapenko.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 29, 2020
French Open - Paris
C Clay Β· 1st Round
Mar 21, 2017
Miami
H Hard Β· Round of 128
Mar 2, 2017
Acapulco
H Hard Β· Round of 16
Jan 6, 2017
Auckland
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenko | Brengle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jelena Ostapenko | Madison Brengle | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 6% | 1/18 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Brengle |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5β2 | 11β7 |
| Avg odds | 1.74 | 1.64 |
| ROI % | -7.7% | -24.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.54u | -4.49u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenko | Brengle |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi Β· 0 km | β |
| Route | POL | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Ostapenko and Brengle posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Ostapenko | Brengle |
|---|---|---|
| Marina Stakusic | L 46 76 26 | L 26 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London Β· 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne Β· Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne Β· 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne Β· 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris Β· 2nd Round
May 27
Hanne Vandewinkel
W100 Landisville Β· 1st Round
Aug 6
Emerson Jones
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver Β· 2nd Round
Jul 30
Alexandra Vagramov
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Yuki Naito
W100 Evansville Β· 1st Round
Jul 23
Greet Minnen
Hall of Fame Open - Newport Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Kayla Cross
Hall of Fame Open - Newport Β· 2nd Round
Jul 9
Arantxa Sanchez
Newport Beach WTA Β· Round of 32
Jul 8
Ana Sofia Sanchez
Hall of Fame Open - Newport Β· 1st Round
Jul 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 39β65 matches
| Metric | Ostapenko | Brengle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 66% |
| Sets won | 56% | 65% |
| Games won | 52% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenko | Brengle |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenko | Brengle |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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